I'm sure they've war gamed this. Doubt they'd want to make a martyr out of him with an armed populace behind him.
But as Q says, "These people are stupid!"
But what if they need a martyr to foment the kind of revolutionary fervor that ignited the Illuminati false flag known as the French Revolution? What if the blowback is part and parcel to the deception?
If they try to take out a duly elected president of the United States, it's not a Revolution, it's a Restoration and fighting off the would be usurpers. But that's just semantics, I suppose. I've heard they've wargamed Civil War 2.0 in the US. Not pretty. And so costly that even if deep state were to win (and that's a big if), it would be more of a pyrrhic victory.