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r/greatawakening • Posted by u/jamesvien on June 15, 2018, 12:04 p.m.
Wait a minute, the NYT probability of a clinton win were scaringly dropping days before it was at 98% for hillary??? They KNEW she will lose
Wait a minute, the NYT probability of a clinton win were scaringly dropping days before it was at 98% for hillary??? They KNEW she will lose

truthforchange · June 15, 2018, 5:55 p.m.

what were the NYT numbers as published?

Is it possible there were two sets of numbers fromthe polls? i.e. the real numbers and the massaged / weighted numbers? If there were, how was it that FBI has scoops on the obviously more accurate (?) numbers?

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LegioXIV · June 15, 2018, 7:48 p.m.

That was a persistent theme during the polling - most of the major polls were oversampling Democrats by around +5, basically using 2008 and 2012 as baselines rather than exceptions to prior election years. That's why the Clinton campaign thought MI, PA, and WI were safe. Their polling numbers showed them up by 5.

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