Anonymous ID: 7e480f Feb. 3, 2021, 5:10 a.m. No.52188   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>2210 >>2224

5.8 Million Fewer Babies: America’s Lost Decade in Fertility

 

Fertility rates have fallen around the world over the last decade—even in countries with generous social welfare states, which experts had long expected to be holdouts in the face of fertility declines. But while demographers often talk about this change in terms of “fertility rates” or “births per woman,” another way to tally the total is in terms of missing births. That is, if the population of women who might have kids changed the way it did over the last decade, and if fertility rates had remained at their 2008 levels (the last time we had replacement-rate fertility in America), how many more babies would have been born?

 

The answer is 5.8 million babies. Since births in the U.S. actually tend to run around 4 million per year, that’s almost like saying nobody had a baby for a year and a half. Figure 1 below shows the difference between the number of babies actually born to moms of each major racial or ethnic group tracked by the CDC from 2009-2019, and the number that would have been born, had 2008 fertility rates remained stable but underlying population totals changed in the same way.

 

Full report at

https://ifstudies.org/blog/5-8-million-fewer-babies-americas-lost-decade-in-fertility