Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 5:56 a.m. No.140129   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0148 >>0150 >>0170 >>0246

SAMFOX USAF G5-and this is a high-level VIP transport AC-WN from JBA depart-SAMFOX is the mascot of the 99th Airlift Squad but it has also been used as callsign to transport foreign VIPS once they arrive in the US-I'm not sure how much they use it any longer (for that) it's what it was used for in the past

 

RCAF CFC3080 CL60 inbound to Dulles from Ottawa

Trudope busy in Rwanda right now-see cap #2 for that (he stopped at Madrid for a refuel from Ottawa depart)

 

In Rwanda to meet with Commonwealth leaders, Trudeau remembers a genocide

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/commonwealth-trudeau-rwanda-1.6498587

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 6 a.m. No.140130   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0150 >>0246

Australian AF ASY330 737 departed New Delhi and heading to Kigali, Rwanda this is Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Defence Richard Marles.

 

Deputy Prime Minister Marles and Minister Conroy to attend Commonwealth Heads of Government meeting 2022 in Rwanda

https://ministers.dfat.gov.au/minister/pat-conroy/media-release/deputy-prime-minister-marles-and-minister-conroy-attend-commonwealth-heads-government-meeting-2022-rwanda

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 6:53 a.m. No.140132   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0150 >>0246

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 229,000

 

In the week ending June 18, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 229,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 229,000 to 231,000. The 4-week moving average was 223,500, an increase of 4,500 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 500 from 218,500 to 219,000. The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims increased to 223,500. The previous week was revised up. Weekly claims were higher than the consensus forecast.

https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2022/06/weekly-initial-unemployment-claims-at_23.html

 

weekly claims higher than forecast-so add that to yet another "surprise" as the US macro data continues it's free-fall and 'production' of "surprises" even with the seasonal adjustments

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 7:23 a.m. No.140137   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0143 >>0150 >>0246

Europe-Med.-Gulf Activity

 

JAKE11 USAF RC-135 Rivet Joint done on it's maneuvers around Kaliningrad and back to Wunstorf AB, Germany

 

German AF GAF028 A400m was tracking north/south just east of Warsaw-done and heading east

Norway AF RAVEN22 and 23 Falcon 200 EX (Electronic Warfare) did some laps over Geilenkirchen AB and back to Oslo-I guess they have two of these-thought it was only one

 

RAF RRR9914 A330 MRTT trackin' east of Tallinn, Estonia-doze 'bad Russians'

Czech AF CEF05C A319 back to Prague from Rotterdam depart after about 5h 45min on the ground

I see that the Czechs are supposed to meet NATO Sec Stoltenburg in Brussels so this is not that flight

 

HKY38 USAF C-130 heading to Rzesow with HKY141 herc departed it and back to Ramstein AFB

Turkish AF TUAF404(not a good choice on the #s in that callsign) A400M departed Ankara and heading to Brussels Int'l

RCH445 USAF C-5 Galaxy ES from Spangdahlem AB

Spanish AF AME4549 Falcon 900 on ground at Brussels from Madrid depart-this is for EU Economic and Financial Affairs Council Meeting

French AF CTM1053 A330 back to Paris from Libreville, Gabon depart arrived yesterday and spent about 17 hours on the ground

 

Belgian AF BAF85 Falcon 7x on ground at Rome from Pisa depart and stop of a little over one hour

 

French AF FAF4099 A330 WS back to MArseille from a Constanta AB, Romania stop with 2 US Army Blackhawks up just north and south of the city of Constanta

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 8:11 a.m. No.140145   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0150 >>0187 >>0246

Lavrov in Tehran: Iran's FM Pleads With The US to Revive Nuclear Deal

 

ranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian said Thursday Iran is ready to resume talks on reviving the 2015 nuclear deal, following talks with his Russian counterpart in Tehran.

 

Speaking during a joint press conference with Sergey Lavrov in Tehran, Amir-Abdollahian urged the United States to be “realistic” regarding reaching an agreement on reviving the landmark deal. Lavrov arrived in Tehran on Wednesday on a two-day visit, his first since the Ebrahim Raisi government assumed power last year. Amir-Abdollahian voiced hope that the talks underway in Vienna since April last year to salvage the 2015 nuclear deal will resume soon, adding that Iran is "serious" The talks have been stalled due to key disagreements between Tehran and Washington, including the de-listing of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

 

Amir-Abdollahian appreciated the role of Russia, as well as China, in opposing the anti-Iran resolution at the UN nuclear watchdog's board of governors meeting, which called on Tehran to scale up its cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

 

Russia and China voted against the resolution drafted by the US and its three European allies, while India, Pakistan and Libya abstained.

 

Amir-Abdollahian said Iran's lead nuclear negotiator Ali Bagheri has been in contact with his European Union counterpart Enrique Mora, expressing confidence that the talks will be back on track soon. about reaching a "good and lasting agreement.”

https://www.albawaba.com/news/lavrov-tehran-irans-fm-pleads-us-revive-nuclear-deal-1481767

https://twitter.com/jaccocharite/status/1539668735199674368

 

His 'normal' AC RA-96018 is not visible-so most likely switched off and not visible since the trip to Algeria and Oman on May11th-he goes to Baku Azerbaijan next...

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 8:27 a.m. No.140150   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0153 >>0179 >>0246

>>140122

>>140124

#949

>>140129 SAMFOX USAF G5-and this is a high-level VIP transport AC-WN from JBA depart-SAMFOX is the mascot of the 99th Airlift Squad but it has also been used as callsign to transport foreign VIPS-RCAF CFC3080 CL60 inbound to Dulles from Ottawa-Trudope in Rwanda

>>140130 Deputy PM of Oz arriving at Rwanda

>>140132 Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 229,000

>>140133 GOP House leadership to vote against bipartisan Senate gun bill

>>140134 First decision of the day...looks pretty good-NC NAACP wants to challenge voter ID law, wanted to block legislature from intervening, denied!

>>140135 Second Opinion Release by SCOTUS relates to Death Penalty procedure.

>>140136 Yesterday, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman met with Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan at the Presidential Palace in Ankara in an effort to normalize ties between Saudi Arabia and Turkey following the murder of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

>>140137 pf Europe-Med.-Gulf Activity

>>140138 Just released SCOTUS Opinion on Miranda Rights.

>>140140 2A SCOTUS Opinion Release Gun Rights WIN-NY show proper cause to cc a gun struck down wtf

>>140143 SAM292 USAF G5 and C202 US Coast Guard G5 departed Paris WN

>>140144 moar from SCOTUS- The people, not just members of the “militia,” have the right to use a firearm to defend themselves.

>>140145 Lavrov in Tehran: Iran's FM Pleads With The US to Revive Nuclear Deal

>>140146 GOZER84 USAF E-4B Nightwatch heading for JBA from Wright-Patterson AFB depart

>>140147 Habby B-day to Clarence Thomas

>>140149 Had a feeling today would be a good day after all the sham Jan 6 hearings-Jan 6 was 17 months and 17 days ago

 

>Area code 949 used to be conservative AF-southern OC-still is in many ways but a dem 'elected' in 2018 and first time for that ever there it is the 45th district

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 8:44 a.m. No.140155   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0179 >>0246

Mortgage Rates in the US Rise to 5.81%, Highest Since 2008

See cap #3 for 30y fixed

 

Mortgage rates in the US climbed again, hovering near a 14-year high. The average for a 30-year loan was 5.81%, up from 5.78% last week, Freddie Mac said in a statement Thursday. The latest gain follows the biggest one-week jump since 1987. The massive run-up in mortgage rates this year has fueled a sudden shift in the previously frenzied US housing market. More sellers in some of the hottest pandemic boomtowns are cutting prices. Sales of previously owned homes fell in May to the lowest level in nearly two years, according to data released this week. The slowdown has led to major layoffs across the industry. The biggest US bank, JPMorgan Chase & Co., is laying off hundreds of home-lending employees and reassigning hundreds more. Brokerages Compass Inc. and Redfin Corp. are also cutting hundreds of workers.

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/mortgage-rates-in-the-us-rise-to-5-81-highest-since-2008-1.1782901

 

Jerry is 'talking' again today so naturally Yields on 10s 30s are dropping-they were doing this well before he opened his mouth

https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmubmusd10y

https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmubmusd30y

https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/loanrate/br2_zzm4

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 8:49 a.m. No.140156   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0158 >>0246

>>140154

Always "second half of next year"

Yeah nuffin wrong when you put on 21.3% increase in derivatives in 90 days and $278.84B in Silver Derivatives in the same 90 days...

Nope NUFFIN to see dhere

I'm thinking that big increase in Derivs was all the CDS contracts they wrote on the Ruble getting wiped out so they made it "not so"

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 9:12 a.m. No.140160   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0166 >>0179 >>0246

Swiss AF SUI028 Falcon 900 back to Bern/Belp after a stop at Stuttgart Int'l for 3 hours and there for this..

German police foil bomb attack in ‘major Swiss city’

On June 20, German special forces arrested two Swiss men, aged 24 and 26, who are accused of trying to buy explosives in Stuttgart, Germany, the public prosecutor's office and the Baden-Württemberg State Criminal Police Office saidExternal link on Thursday.

https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/politics/german-police-foil-bomb-attack-in--major-swiss-city-/47697416

 

Belgian AF BAF80 Falcon 7x left Brussels and went to Friedrichshafen Airport for 4h 45min then back to Brussels and then to Vojens, Denmark for about 50 minutes and now back to Brussels

Swiss AF SUI08 C-560 SE from Bern/Belp and heading for Rome....

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 9:21 a.m. No.140163   🗄️.is 🔗kun

>>140158

at this point it's just 'pile on' to save selves-especially with that much in that short of a time-frame

Wait until later when they all get the "pass"

>>140159

>the ride never ends

nope-had one yesterday (Dr appt with primary) setting up muh strat and the ins haz until 25th-of course that is on a saturday..always something...so they'll be hearing from us tomorrow and I will be melting the line

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 11:19 a.m. No.140181   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0215 >>0227 >>0246

NYFRB Operations today: $2,304,901,049,133T for June 23,2022

 

Today's FOS headline is: Powell says he doesn’t think a recession is inevitable

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Thursday that he didn’t think a U.S. recession was inevitable. “I don’t think that a recession is inevitable,” Powell said, during his second day of testimony to Congress on interest-rate policy. “We can’t fail on this. We really have to get inflation down to 2%,” he added.ummmm you've already failed bro...and when it is convenient they will have KANGZZZ Bostic 'adjust' his ZERO GDP forecast ( I guess his calculator didn't have a minus function) to reflect this totally no based on any reality "testimony". https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-says-he-doesnt-think-a-recession-is-inevitable-11656004634

 

Here is what they have done to the metals today Au -11.90 -0.65% $1,826.20 and Ag -0.40 -1.87% $21.035 and just as predicted it's going below $21 because when you see three digits on the last price it's being shorted (muh opinion based on experience) so they have until Thursday to get this as low as possible-since there is $463.17B of Silver derivatives attached to the OTC market now when just last Q there was only $75.78B >>140113 lb O.C.C. Precious Metals Report Q1 2022

Gold-Silver Ratio improves with today's action 86.782 +0.973 (+1.13%)

https://goldprice.com/gold-silver-ratio/

Dropping this in anticipation of what they will be releasing at 4:30pm- TOTAL and COMPLETE Bullshit >>139599 pb Economic Schedule for week of June 19th, 2022-plus what the FRB "Stress Tests" really are and for what purpose

 

They have backed off the Yen quite a bit from yesterday and currently at 134.97--1.27 -0.93%

Euro slumps after bleak PMIs, dollar drops vs yen

The euro fell across the board on Thursday as weaker-than-expected German and French PMI data confirmed that the euro zone economy is struggling to gain traction, prompting traders to trim bets on big interest rate hikes from the European Central Bank. High prices in the euro zone meant demand for manufactured goods fell in June at the fastest rate since May 2020 when the coronavirus pandemic was taking hold, with S&P Global's headline factory Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) falling to a near two- year low of 52.0 from 54.6. Following the data, money markets priced in about 30 basis points (bps) of rate hikes in July compared to 34 bps on Monday. Traders also trimmed their expectations of how much the ECB will hike rates by the end of 2022 to 161 bps compared to 176 bps on Monday. The dollar index inched higher to 104.497+ 0.26% as of post time. While markets have steadfastly held to the view the Fed is on track to raise interest rates by another hefty 75 bps in July, some analysts believe the ECB and the Bank of England will adopt a softer rate increase path or risk damaging growth.

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/dollar-languishes-amid-lower-us-yields-recession-fears-mount-2022-06-23/

https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/currency/usdjpy

 

A total of$2,304,901,049,133Tin overall transactions today and $45.443B moar than Tuesday-this Repo is for overnight and uses 95 counter-parties . 21th day over the $2T mark overall

 

Reverse Reposee cap #2 $2.285.442T and $25.984B moar than Wednesday

Highest stand-alone Reverse Repo ever again....

https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/desk-operations/reverse-repo

 

Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS)See Cap #3 and NO QT today and only ONE (1) operation today-still haz only done )NE QT and it was a disaster. . $2.496B submitted vs. $927m accepted in one operation This settles August 11th '''Higher on the submitted$175mand higher on accepted side by $435m today

These are 30-year Fannie/Freddie

FNCL 4 8/22 $489,000,000

FNCL 4.5 8/22 $428,000,000

https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/desk-operations/ambs

 

Securities Lending OperationsSee Cap #4$45.023Bsubmitted and $44.516B accepted

$45.023 on June 23..... :p

They couldn't squeeze another $507m outta this at this level??..

Below the $50B level again and lower on both submitted and accepted side'

Lower on submitted by $4.232B today and the accepted side by exactly $3.135B

2 year note CUSIP #91282CER8 same as one as and all last week. This is what the system uses to send "messages" to the FOMC on what they want to do with Prime Rate-biggest at $4.310B and all of it taken but less from yesterday by $7m These were just issued on May 31st -so only held for 22 days total. . Second biggest amount is the 6 month bill year CUSIP# 912796V63 at$2.817BBiggest still the 2 year note-the 'telegraph' to the FOMC. The third largest amount is a another 6 month bill CUSIP#912796S59 at $2.801B and changed to this from the 1 year yesterday. So these are starting to get spread out moar but in the shorter end (2 year and below)-and they have that issue to deal with -short term expectations-you've seen them ball it up and manage the 10s and 30s for they've "done what they can" there and are moving on to the short end.

https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/desk-operations/securities-lending

Central Bank Liquidity Swap OperationsNone reported today

https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/desk-operations/central-bank-liquidity-swap-operations

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 11:56 a.m. No.140187   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0189 >>0246

>>140166

Swiss AF SUI08 C-560 back at Bern after 40 minutes on the ground at Rome

>>140145

Russian AF RSD698 T204 Special Flight Squadron returning to Moscow and this signal dropped over Turkmenistan earlier and reappeared in the same spot heading back to Moscow

Not Lavrov-because he was there yesterday but it is likely associated with his trip to Tehran

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 4:34 p.m. No.140198   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0246

>>140113 Notional Amounts of Derivative Contracts by Contract Type and Maturity (Precious Metals) and most of this is Silver

 

Addendum to the Precious Metals Derivatives Report put out last night

 

This data no longer reflects only Silver and the almost non-existent other Precious Metals positions

Because of a mistake made (mine) and it was something that I did not notice or take note of at the bottom of the overall table of Precious Metals Derivatives-there was a change made at the start of THIS year (and announced over 2 years ago-see below) that took the Gold Derivatives that had been classified as a FOREX derivative contracts (which has always been a tacit admission that is was real money) and placed them into the Precious Metals portion of this overall report-where they always should have been**.

You wouldn't necessarily see this "leave" the FOREX classification because that is about $5.5T daily market so unless you were really paying attention this would not have been seen--but knew that there were no Gold Derivative contracts in the Precious Metals Derivative reports in the past. There is very little Platinum and Palladium derivative contracts at all and in the last report, Q4-2021 I stated this. The reason I did not notice this was a bit of the teeth-gnashing-and just missed it-I was doing after completing the overall OCC Derivative Report (The increases there...just wow!)-all of THAT is still completely valid. I still believe that Shitibank was handed a large portion of the Silver Legacy position in 2018-even though I lack proof that I thought I got with this yesterday.

 

Bottom line:

This (OCC Precious Metals Derivative Reporting) is now USELESS in trying to determine who is doing what regarding Silver Derivative Contracts Positions and what also make me go look again was that Bank of America did not go down at all and they should have since whatever arrangement(s) they have with JP Morgan via those lease agreements-those should have decreased as all of that (from last year) were less than 1 year of maturity.

What we do know (now) is that Shitibank along with JP Morgan (surprise.../s) is the other big player in the Gold Derivative market when in the past it was all hidden in the FOREX "bucket". The last glimpse of what they have done will remain the Q4 2021 OCC report as this is now a combination of Gold and Silver contracts and the very little to almost non-existent Platinum/Palladium/Rhodium etcThey made this change so that they can hide what is going on here with Silver-(as if they don't have enough ways to do this with all the fake data they produce) this just takes it another step further.

Most likely moar swap deals and now being totally able to hide any "fixes" they do by piling on moar of these contracts-so what you see now is the TOTAL amount of all of them and not just Silver.

 

**Note: Beginning January 1, 2022, the largest banks are required to calculate their derivative exposure amount for regulatory capital purposes using the Standardized Approach for Counterparty Credit Risk (SA-CCR). Under SA-CCR gold derivatives are considered precious metals derivative contracts rather than an exchange rate derivative contract resulting in an increase in reported precious metals.

They announced this change on February 18th, 2020 and made the change to it's framework on January 24th, 2020.

https://occ.gov/news-issuances/bulletins/2020/bulletin-2020-7.html

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 4:54 p.m. No.140201   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0246

>>140104 pb O.C.C Quarterly Derivatives Report Q1 2022-June 21st (release date), 2022

 

One point I would like to make is that the increase in JP Morgans position was because something went very wrong for them and muh guess is that they wrote a shit-ton of Credit Defualt Swaps on the Ruble and Russian Bond payments-which they have not defaulted on. They are trying to get ISDA (Internations Swaps and Derivatives Association) to declare a full default on the Russian situationbecause they do not like the payment method.As a reference point for JP Morgan's increase of its total exposure: it is 25% more than Wells Fargo's total exposure from it's Q4 2021 report-they (Wells Fartgo) have gone up by the indicated amount 29.6% increase for Q1 2022....so it (JP Morgan's big increase) is likely tied to all this below

 

>>129314 VP punks Credit Default Swap (CDS) Market: Putin Seeks to Avert Defaults With Ruble Payments to Creditors-bnnBberg Mar 5

>>129582 pb The Big Question on Wall Street Is Which Banks Owe $41 Billion on Credit Default Swaps on Russia

>>130432, >>130434 pb West accused of engineering ‘artificial default’ in Russia

>>132469, >>132470 Russia Five-Year Default Risk "Jumps" to 87.7% After U.S. Ban-bnnBBerg

>>132900 S&P cuts Russia's foreign currency rating to 'selective default'-reuters

 

from May 5th

Russia Being Pushed Towards Default https://www.barrons.com/news/russia-being-pushed-towards-default-01653619207

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 5:14 p.m. No.140207   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0246

SAM319 USAF C-32A on ground at Berlin from JBA depart

 

Departing today for Germany to participate in the Uniting for Food Security Ministerial and to join @POTUS

for #G7 meetings this week. From there I’ll travel to Spain for the @NATO Summit in Madrid

 

https://twitter.com/SecBlinken/status/1539975750224187392?cxt=HHwWgMCgraTyi98qAAAA

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 5:29 p.m. No.140210   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0246

>>140047, >>140056 lb

German AF GAF931 A-340 departed Montreal after arriving yesterday

 

Canada Unlikely To Return Blocked Gazprom Turbine

The Gazprom turbine that Siemens Energy took to a Canadian factory to repair and that Gazprom blamed for the reduced Nord Stream 1 flows is not coming back to Russia anytime soon, Canada's Natural Resources Minister has signaled. Speaking to Reuters, Jonathan Wilkinson said the turbine affair was likely to come up during the G7 meeting to be held this weekend, but any discussions were unlikely to lead to a solution. "If you talk to the Germans, they are very, very concerned about" their energy security, Wilkinson said. "I'm sure it'll come up at least in the corridors of the G7 ... I wouldn't hold my breath that we're going to find a resolution before the end."

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Canada-Unlikely-To-Return-Blocked-Gazprom-Turbine.html

 

The work is being done in Montreal-hence this AC in yesterday..out today

 

Part of the structure was being repaired in Montreal and cannot be returned due to Canada's sanctions against Russia.

https://www.tellerreport.com/news/2022-06-22-bloomberg--canada-and-germany-are-negotiating-gas-supplies-due-to-nord-stream-turbines.S1b1hrXe9q.html

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 5:36 p.m. No.140211   🗄️.is 🔗kun

>>140208

>we just own it and move on

yep why i did-just din't want the wrong info out there

That too bad they may not be around for the end play-truly sorry that may be the case-the ones that don't know it's coming they not "missing" anything" but I feelz for them knowing way moar about it all and might not see it

I hope they do

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 5:51 p.m. No.140212   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0226 >>0246

>>140143

C202 US Coast Guard G5 departed Reagan National after a ground stop of about 90 minutes after arriving from Paris depart earlier today-looks like it's heading to NAS Pensacola

>>139927 pb

SAM292 USAF G5 landed at JBA after it stopped at NY Stewart Airport (West Point) for 60 minutes where it left on Monday >>139888 pb and went to Rzesow for 90 minutes then to Paris

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 6:10 p.m. No.140215   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0218 >>0246

U.S. banks ace Fed stress tests to pave way for investor payouts

 

Wall Street’s biggest banks are set to return tens of billions of dollars to investors after all the lenders passed the Federal Reserve’s annual test of their ability to withstand market turmoil. The banks examined showed that they had enough capital to handle a cocktail of surging unemployment, collapsing real-estate prices and a plunge in stocks, the Fed said in a statement Thursday. Major firms including JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. also faced a made-up market shock that tested the resiliency of their trading operations.

 

While the terms of the tests were announced in February before US inflation had surged to a 40-year high, the scenarios no longer seem as far-fetched amid mounting concerns of a global economic slowdown. The passing marks effectively give banking giants a green light to return billions of dollars to investors in dividends and share buybacks. “Banks continue to have strong capital levels, allowing them to continue lending to households and businesses during a severe recession,” the Fed said in the statement. The Fed said the more than 30 lenders it examined were able remain above their minimum capital requirements during the hypothetical economic meltdown, which would have caused them total projected losses of US$612 billion.

 

Lenders use the tests to assess how much capital they can afford to dole out to investors without falling below the amount they are required to hold as a cushion. If a firm breaches its so-called stress capital buffer at any point in the year following the exams, the Fed can apply sanctions, including restrictions on capital distributions and bonus payments. With their results in hand, banks can announce their payout plans starting Monday. Estimates by Barclays Plc analysts indicate that JPMorgan is set to lead the way with US$18.9 billion in combined dividends and share buybacks, followed by Bank of America Corp. and Wells Fargo & Co. with US$15.5 billion and US$15.3 billion, respectively. In all, US banking giants are set to return US$80 billion to shareholders this year.

Last year, dividend payouts by the nation’s six largest lenders rose by almost half after the country’s largest banks amassed mountains of excess capital during the pandemic. Morgan Stanley alone doubled its quarterly payout while also announcing as much as US$12 billion in stock buybacks.

 

The Fed’s 2022 stress tests included “a severe global recession accompanied by a period of heightened stress in commercial real estate and corporate debt markets,” according to the Fed’s website. In a sign of the Covid-19 pandemic’s impact, the hypothetical downturn “is amplified by the prolonged continuation of remote work, which leads to larger commercial real estate price declines that, in turn, spill over to the corporate sector and affect investor sentiment.”

 

The scenario featured a peak US unemployment rate of 10 per cent, a real gross domestic product decline of 3.5 per cent from the end of last year and a 55 per cent drop in equity prices. It also incorporates a sharp decline in inflation to an annual rate of 1.25 per cent in the third quarter of 2022 on higher unemployment and lower demand.

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-banks-ace-fed-stress-tests-to-pave-way-for-investor-payouts-1.1783099

 

>>140181 NYFRB Operations today: $2,304,901,049,133T for June 23,2022

>>140104 O.C.C Quarterly Derivatives Report Q1 2022-June 21st (release date), 2022-an avg increase of 18.55% for the top 6 OTC derivative holders Q4 2021 to Q1 2022-see comment in 075 about "blowing it up"...to the upside

>>139599 pb Economic Schedule for week of June 19th, 2022-plus what the FRB "Stress Tests" really are and for what purpose

see moar in 599 about how they do this...

>So they use this is make it look 'great' and then the Zombie banks say "thank you very much nigga" and then shortly after raise the dividends they pay out since it is all awesome!!!

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 6:21 p.m. No.140218   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0222 >>0227 >>0246

>>140215

Money quote below from the BOE and the "best one"....

 

European banks ace U.S. Fed's stress test, show strong capital levels

 

WASHINGTON/LONDON, June 23 (Reuters) - The U.S. units of major European lenders including Deutsche Bank, Barclays and Credit Suisse sailed through the Federal Reserve's annual "stress tests" on Thursday, showing they hold enough capital to weather an economic shock.

 

For the seven European bank subsidiaries the Fed oversees with more than $100 billion in assets, the average capital ratio a measure of the cushion a bank has to withstand potential losses remained well above the regulatory minimum of 4.5%. It was also higher than the average ratio for the broader group of 34 banks tested, according to a Reuters analysis of the results. read more

 

The average capital ratio for the seven European lenders stood at 15.2%, compared with 9.7% for the 34 banks.

 

Deutsche Bank's U.S. operations had the highest ratio of all banks at 22.8%, while Credit Suisse was the third-highest of the group with a ratio of 20.1%. HSBC was the straggler of the foreign pack with a ratio of 7.7%. The other four European subsidiaries tested were UBS America Holdings, Santander Holdings USA, and BNP Paribas USA. The Bank of England said this month it was satisfied lenders were no longer "too big to fail," although it did call for greater clarity on how much liquidity three major banks including HSBC (HSBA.L) would require if they needed to be wound down in a future crisis. read more

 

The European Banking Authority is scheduled to run its next EU-wide stress test in 2023 but investors are on high-alert for evidence of a fall in asset quality at European banks, as borrowing rates begin to rise from historic lows. In 2020 the Fed changed how the test works, scrapping its "pass-fail" model and introducing a more nuanced capital regime.

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/european-banks-ace-us-feds-stress-test-show-strong-capital-levels-2022-06-23/

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 7:08 p.m. No.140227   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0246

>>140181, >>140218

NYFRB Currency Swap with the E.C.B.-and this was not here earlier today nor yesterday: $184,400,000

 

European Central Bank

TRADE DATE: June 22 (and not reported until this evening even though they have it dated as 0622)

SETTLEMENT DATE: 0623

MATURITY DATE: 0630

TERM (DAYS): 7

INTEREST RATE(%): 1.84

AMOUNT: $184,400,000

 

Also a small one with the B.O.E of $51k Non-U.S. Dollar Liquidity Swap

https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/desk-operations/central-bank-liquidity-swap-operations

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 7:38 p.m. No.140235   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0236

>>140232

yep

ima staying here but the lead and lead accessories were cleaned last weekend.

Prepare for the worst type thang

 

Was gonna go to local on sat (I din't get a chance on this last sat in prep) but NFW-that can wait.

Especially since they added the friday release yesterday

he'll keep it either way

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 8:14 p.m. No.140240   🗄️.is 🔗kun

>>140236

thank you

i pretty much get what is going on by yer answers

>commiefornia

ain't going nowhere until that moniker is gone.

Outta the coastal areas and bigger cities it's moar 'normal' imo

Still CA though.

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 8:36 p.m. No.140242   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0246

NYFRB Statement Regarding Treasury Securities Small Value Exercise

 

The New York Fed undertakes certain small value open market transactions from time to time for the purpose of testing operational readiness to implement existing and potential policy directives from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC authorizes the New York Fed's Open Market Trading Desk (the Desk) to conduct these exercises to test its operational readiness in the Authorization for Domestic Open Market Operations and Authorization for Foreign Currency Operations.

 

In connection with these authorizations, the Desk intends to conduct a small value Treasury sale operation, which will occur on Tuesday, June 28, 2022, beginning around 1:30 PM ET and ending at 2:00 PM ET. The sale will not exceed a face value of $25 million and will be limited to Treasury nominal coupon securities maturing between 22.5 and 30 years from the date of the operation.

https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/opolicy/operating_policy_220622

 

From yesterday and looks like they are going to try and sell a much smaller amount as part of the QT process-since the one attempt they had was a total disaster

From June 8th-the first only 'attempt' at QT-see cap #4

>>138076 pb NYFRB Operations today Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS)

>$892.684m submitted for sale and $112.239 sold

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 8:58 p.m. No.140245   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0246

JASDF JF423Kawasaki C-2 heading fro Rzesow with some anime pron for Zelensky-departed Dubai after a refuel

RCH117USAF C-17 Globemaster on ground at Rzesow from Warsaw Int'l

Anonymous ID: 6e854a June 23, 2022, 9:04 p.m. No.140246   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0247

>>140122

>>140124

>>140150

>>140179

#949

>>140129, >>140170 SAMFOX USAF G5-and this is a high-level VIP transport AC-WN from JBA depart-SAMFOX is the mascot of the 99th Airlift Squad but it has also been used as callsign to transport foreign VIPS-RCAF CFC3080 CL60 inbound to Dulles from Ottawa-Trudope in Rwanda-SAM284 USAF G5-was SAMFOX- went to Ketchikan, AK- (was SAMFOX earlier)

>>140130 Deputy PM of Oz arriving at Rwanda

>>140132 Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 229,000

>>140133 GOP House leadership to vote against bipartisan Senate gun bill

>>140134 First decision of the day...looks pretty good-NC NAACP wants to challenge voter ID law, wanted to block legislature from intervening, denied!

>>140135 Second Opinion Release by SCOTUS relates to Death Penalty procedure.

>>140136 Yesterday, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman met with Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan at the Presidential Palace in Ankara in an effort to normalize ties between Saudi Arabia and Turkey following the murder of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

>>140137 pf Europe-Med.-Gulf Activity

>>140138 Just released SCOTUS Opinion on Miranda Rights.

>>140140 2A SCOTUS Opinion Release Gun Rights WIN-NY show proper cause to cc a gun struck down wtf

>>140143 SAM292 USAF G5 and C202 US Coast Guard G5 departed Paris WN

>>140144 moar from SCOTUS- The people, not just members of the “militia,” have the right to use a firearm to defend themselves.

>>140145 Lavrov in Tehran: Iran's FM Pleads With The US to Revive Nuclear Deal

>>140146 GOZER84 USAF E-4B Nightwatch heading for JBA from Wright-Patterson AFB depart

>>140147 Habby B-day to Clarence Thomas

>>140149 Had a feeling today would be a good day after all the sham Jan 6 hearings-Jan 6 was 17 months and 17 days ago

>>140152 All 159 counties in Georgia are challenging the election results for Brad Raffensperger.

>>140155 Mortgage Rates in the US Rise to 5.81%, Highest Since 2008

>>140154, >>140156 Blind economics

>>140160, >>140166 Swiss AF SUI028 Falcon 900 back to Bern/Belp after a stop at Stuttgart Int'l for 3 hours and there for this: German police foil bomb attack in ‘major Swiss city’/Belgians left Vojers Denmark after stop at Friedrichshafen, Germany and back to Brussels earlier and a Swiss AF C-560 heading to Rome and landed at Ciampino Airport ....🤔

>>140168, >>140169, >>140173 NO.INFRINGEMENT

>>140178 update yesterday on the USA v. Danchenko docket?! Durham filed a bunch of classified documents, that he has being declassified, and will unveil at trial

>>140181 NYFRB Operations today: $2,304,901,049,133T for June23, 2022

>>140185 These people are hypocrites #DT47 "in 2019 40 Dems labeled Ukraine's Azov Battalion Terrorist"-screencap

>>140187 Swiss AF SUI08 C-560 back at Bern after 40 minutes on the ground at Rome-Russian AF RSD698 T204 Special Flight Squadron returning to Moscow- likely associated with Lavrov trip to Tehran

>>140194 Tip of the Spear comms🧐 Also is that a (lightning) bow shooting an (Space Force) arrow/quiver?🤔 @USSF_STARCOM

>>140195 x22 report Bob Kudla- The [CB] Lost Control So They Made A Move & Introduced [CBDC],Huge Mistake

>>140197 "Release opinion on concealed carry before Roe V Wade Riots" memeage

>>140198 Addendum to the Precious Metals Derivatives Report put out last night-All Precious Metals included in overall #s now as of 0122-Gold was classified as FOREX up until 0122

>>140201 Moar on derivatives: Possibruh reason for JP Morgan's big derivative increase-CDS contracts on Russian defaults not being declared-but they are maneuvering to have ISDA declare it..they just don't like the payment method

>>140204 2 year delta on Q drop #4506 "The People's General. Soon. *** Q" ?????

>>140205 Slimy Cheney instructing Dims to switch parties for the primaries so they can vote for her

>>140207 SAM319 USAF C-32A on ground at Berlin from JBA depart-Blinken arrives in Berlin for G7 and NATO wank-fest

>>140210 German AF GAF931 A-340 departed Montreal after arriving yesterday-No turbine for you!-Canada Unlikely To Return Blocked Gazprom Turbine

>>140212 C202 US Coast Guard G5 departed Reagan National after a ground stop of about 90 minutes after arriving from Paris depart earlier today-SAM292 USAF G5 landed at JBA after it stopped at NY Stewart Airport (West Point) for 60 minutes where it left on Monday

>>140215 U.S. banks ace Fed stress tests to pave way for investor payouts..told ya on Sunday-Lather,Rinse, Repeat

>>140218 European banks ace U.S. Fed's stress test, show strong capital levels-Money quote below from the BOE and the "best one"....

>>140220 DHC "communicating" with Catholic Churches, pregnancy centers telling them to be prepared.... All it's going to do is make more people buy guns, create more conservatives, and show ppl how dangerous the left really is @Libertas

>>140226 SPAR85 USAF G5 departed Lackland AFB, San Antonio after an overnight-C202 US Coast Guard G5 on ground at Pensacola NAS

>>140227 NYFRB Currency Swap with the E.C.B.-and this was not here earlier today nor yesterday: $184,400,000

>>140234 BREAKING: The Gun Control Bill Has Passed The Senate 65-33-list of 15 Repubs who voted for it

>>140237, >>140238 GORDO15 Nightwatch doin' roundy's at WP AFB right now-often confused for it

>>140242 NYFRB Statement Regarding Treasury Securities Small Value Exercise-another attempt at QT

>>140245 JASDF JF423Kawasaki C-2 heading fro Rzesow with some anime pron for Zelensky-RCH117 C-17 on ground at Rzesow from Warsaw Int'l

 

ttyitm

nighty night

out