Myanmar parallel government to challenge regime with $700m budget
Shadow finance minister takes aim at military generals on economic battlefield
Myanmar's shadow National Unity Government has stepped up its revenue generation and fundraising efforts to channel hundreds of millions of dollars into opposing the military regime that seized power on Feb. 1. It is also tapping international supporters, including wealthy overseas Burmese, and lobbying to cut funding flows to the military regime, known as the State Administration Council, while pressing foreign investors to divest from military-linked businesses. The NUG is preparing its first budget, which will amount to about $700 million and will be unveiled in the coming weeks, according to the group's economic advisers. The funds, held mainly in accounts outside the country, will support humanitarian relief, COVID-19 vaccinations and striking workers inside Myanmar, as well as the NUG's operations at home and abroad. Although not directly comparable, the country's parliament last August passed a national budget of 34.1 trillion kyat ($20.7 billion) for the fiscal year through September this year.
Revenue sources range from international crowdfunding campaigns to a covert lottery that is expected to bring in about $8.4 million per month from domestic and international buyers, according to the group's calculations. A test run in early August of 250,000 tickets sold out in four days, generating 500 million Myanmar kyat ($300,000), of which 70% went to striking government workers, the NUG said. The rest was prize money, it said. The group is also "making progress" in efforts to retrieve $1 billion of Myanmar's foreign reserves that were frozen by the U.S. after the military takeover. The body, which styles itself as a parallel administration to the military regime in Naypyitaw, is in the process of setting up an official international bank account to unify its treasury operations, NUG Finance Minister Tin Tun Naing told Nikkei Asia in a rare, recent interview. "The truth is, we need a lot of money," Tin Tun Naing said, speaking by video link from an undisclosed location. "Even if we recover the $1 billion that the U.S. has frozen, given the scale of the problems that Burma is facing, it will still not be near enough." A former businessman with degrees in electrical engineering and an executive MBA, Tin Tun Naing headed his own construction business in Yangon before joining the National League for Democracy and running successfully for parliament in 2015.
Like other NLD lawmakers, Tin Tun Naing went into hiding after the military takeover to form the NUG with representatives of civil society as well as ethnic and other minority groups. He has helped shape an economic team and a reform agenda and is taking aim at the military's failures in managing the economy and a virulent third wave of COVID-19. He is also taking a stand for human rights in a country in which more than 1,040 people have been killed and 7,740 detained by security forces since Feb. 1. The military regime is preparing a Myanmar Economic Recovery Plan that it says will help revitalize the battered, post-pandemic economy. The final draft, seen by Nikkei, makes little mention of the Feb. 1 takeover that triggered mass protests, strikes and near-economic paralysis which led to the temporary closures of businesses and banks.
Rather, the plan outlines numerous programs, from reducing corporate taxes and cutting imports to promoting tourism and foreign investment, listed under "five road maps, 10 action plans, 20 objectives and 407 action lines." Although largely based on economic programs of the ousted NLD government, the plan omits such key NLD goals as reforming state-owned enterprises and overhauling the tax system and project funding.
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https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Myanmar-Crisis/Myanmar-parallel-government-to-challenge-regime-with-700m-budget