I feel this way as well. I’d love to be proven wrong but I think it will be close, and Q has even alluded to the plan the D’s haven’t switching out candidates at the 11th hour.
If this switch is for real, then The projections are invalid.
I watched it in and off today. Never saw any shift on the vid, but the conclusion some are arriving at makes sense to me.
Too early to tell but my guess is something significant has occurred to the dam to make them cut the feed.