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Timestamp: 39:18
Presstitute: “This morning Dr. Birx said that ‘it is still an open question’ how rapidly children under 10 can actually spread covid-19, but the other day the President said they don’t bring it home very easily and they don’t transmit very easily. So shouldn’t we figure out which one of those it is, before sending children back to school?”
That statement by Dr. Birx I can see would be weaponised by fake news, because while from a ‘modern science’ standpoint it is technically not wrong to say ‘it is still an open question’ about any theory about covid spread, it is imperative to know that THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO ANY SCIENTIFIC THEORY ALL THE TIME.
Allow me to explain what I mean.
In the field of ‘philosophy of science’, the mainstream form being ‘falsificationism’ which took shape during the early 20th century at the Vienna School, notable architects included Karl Popper, the way we can consider ourselves as ‘knowing’ something true by way of the modern scientific method today, is through the method of theory -observe -> test (‘confirm’ or ‘falsify’), then it repeats.
If you read the literature very closely, you will find that the method of falsification does not permit us to ever be 100% certain of any theory no matter how many times it is ‘confirmed’. For the logic of positivism always leaves open the possibility that a heretofore repeatedly confirmed theory might one day become falsified. Perhaps a previously unnoticed variable is having an impact on the test such that the theory as initially constructed becomes falsified. This is called omitted variable bias. Or, perhaps a coefficient on a variable is found to no longer correctly lead to predicting outcomes.
The key thing about the method of falsification is that ANY THEORY IS ALWAYS OPEN TO BEING ‘QUESTIONED’ because the logic of the method requires us to always leave open the possibility that any theory, including those that have been confirmed repeatedly in the past, might one day be falsified.
We saw this happen with Newtonian physics being ‘falsified’ which paved the way for Einstein’s General Theory of Relativity, which also must be considered as possibly being falsified in the future.
The modern scientific method, in other words, DOES NOT PERMIT AN ABANDONMENT OF ‘QUESTIONING’. It requires permanent ‘on guard’ readiness for any scientific theory to be falsified in the future.
Indeed, that requirement is so strong that the modern scientific method goes as far as dismissing any and all ‘non-falsifiable’ statements as not true knowledge of anything real, that they could only ever be, at best, a ‘faith’, or ‘popular belief’, never a ‘knowledge’ of the real world, or, at worst, deliberately deceptive statements that cannot be disproven or proven, but rhetorically accomplish political ends or nefarious ends.
The way the scientific method promises us in providing accumulating knowledge over time, is by way of an endless series of testing, falsification, re-testing, falsification again, then re-testing, etc. That we accumulate knowledge and reach the goal of enlightenment by way of rejecting and dismissing ‘incorrect’/’falsified’ theories. In other words, we accumulate knowledge by repeatedly eliminating the ‘wrongs’ from a theory. Then, if a theory is consistently confirmed, ok that’s fine, keep it going, depend on it from a practical standpoint, but always keep in the back of your mind that you could one day find the theory falsified.