Anonymous ID: fa2a2c Aug. 16, 2020, 8:20 p.m. No.10313913   🗄️.is đź”—kun   >>3928 >>3949 >>3966 >>4000

COVID Health Information

 

The Center for Infectious Medicine in Sweden and ~25 contributory doctors and scientists have published an extraordinary paper affirming “robust t-cell immunity” after mild exposure to coronavirus, blasting the whispers of potential resurgence. Happy to share the paper if desired.

New York yesterday had five fatalities (the entire state, not just the city). The positivity rate on testing is 0.83%, what statistician call “the same thing as zero.” Interestingly testing is still going up, which a part of me hopes is just because asymptomatic people are getting super duper sure they are clear as school and post-Labor Day work life draws closer.

With all of the talk of New York (because of its role in March/April’s peak level of distress) and the FACT states (because of the summer increase in cases), has led to many other geographies being somewhat ignored. Massachusetts General Hospital has 1,000 inpatient beds. 14 are currently being used for COVID patients, 1 in ICU – (one). There are two hospitalizations right now in suburban Cook County, IL.

The quadrant here is back for a day (it came Friday) but the chief economist at the firm who creates it is on a two-week vacation so just did this as a one-off. As he points out, total cases actually collapsing everywhere, and would show as much even more dramatically if it weren’t for California’s inexplicable data issues last week. That reporting backlog “catch-ups” pollute present data is perhaps one of the major events of all this I am most mortified by – simply no excuse for it in a country as modernized and capable as ours.

To present as clear and succinct of a summary as possible for everyone:

Cases are way down (though that is not very important to our national health or economic well-being)

Positivity ratio is way down

Hospitalizations are way down (down 10% week-over-week; down 20% last two weeks)

Mortalities are way down (down 9% week-over-week)

 

https://thebahnsengroup.com/covid-and-markets/daily-covid-markets-missive-weekend-edition-august-16/