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If the Traditional Media does report on the Movement (either as a result of New Media pressure or via Movement-friendly outlets), this would make unaware Civilians cognizant of the social civil war ahead of them and provoke a government counterstatement/media response. The government, of course, will not be in favor of any Movement aimed at overthrowing it, so it is compelled to publicly proclaim its opposition to it. This enables the Movement to frame the events in a way that makes the government appear to be ‘suppressing’ the political opposition. Such accusations carry heavy weight in the Western arena of public opinion and can serve to undermine the government’s support among on-the-fence civilians.
III Unholy Triangle
This is the term used to describe the interplay between the Finance, Social, and Training Infrastructures. Each one complements the other, and taken together, they form the center of the Movement’s power and influence. The Unholy Triangle is the most important interaction that takes place within the Movement. The stronger each of the three units is, the stronger the Movement itself will become. Conversely, if one part of the Unholy Triangle is weakened, the rest of the Movement also becomes weak. This weakness will have consequences on the Information and Media Infrastructures (the spawn of the Unholy Triangle), thereby undermining the entire Color Revolution operation. Without effective Information and Media outlets, the Movement will wither and eventually collapse.
Social Infrastructure is the most important part of the Unholy Triangle, since it directly affects Tiers 2-5. Therefore, any negative developments in Finance and Training (on which Social is dependent] would ripple through the entire Movement. Although Information also affects Social, it only increases recruitment. Recruitment without quality is ineffective, and institutions/organizations without funding do not operate.
IV Explanation of m Factor Interactions
Tier 1
Ideology à Finance: justification for the entire project
Ideology à Social: motivation for individuals to join the movement
Tier 2
Finance à Social: provides funding for more institutions/organizations
Social à Finance: more Cohorts may lead to more activists conducting fundraising
Finance à Training: pays for more training
Social à Training: more individuals to be trained, makes training a regular occurrence
Tier 3
Training à Finance: teaches Cohorts fundraising activities
Training à Social: increases the effectiveness of outreach activities, improves personnel quality
Tier 4
Finance à Information: pays for better information campaigns and resources
Social à Information: provides more Cohorts to conduct information campaigns
Training à Information: improves the efficiency of information campaigns
Information à Social: assists with recruitment of Cohorts and Civilian sympathizers
Tier 5
Finance à Media: pays for media coverage
Social à Media: institutions/organizations provide a tangible and legitimate subject for reporting
Information à Media: media outlets use the information crafted by institutions/organizations