A few interesting explanations for why the polls are lying by Larry Schweikart, author.

https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1313270348305981440

1) Folks I am pissed. (I NEVER use that word, so excuse me). But this is ridiculous.

2) First, if you're new, I don't "do" polls because they are flat out lying. However, I think it is legit to ask not only if they are lying (they are) but WHY?

3) There are several explanations.

Explanation 1: They lie because they are in such a bubble that they have pre-conceived notions of what the poll "should" show. Living in their NY/DC bubbles, with their Swamp friends, they "know" that Americans must hate Drumpf.

3) contd . . .

That means that they view any & all results that do not conform to this as "outliers" & somehow corrupted data. Since it's got to be wrong, they adjust & "correct" til they get the "right" data.

If any of you are in science you know this completely defies the notion of data. You are entitled to ask why the results differed from your hypothesis, but are not allowed to constantly scream at the data "YOU'RE WRONG!"

4) This Explanation 1 is more or less a cultural/behavioral view of why polls are pathetic. Except for Trafalgar, Richard Baris/Big Data, & Democracy Institute, none of the people in the big polling orgs are "for" Trump. They have no problem viewing data this way.

4) Explanation 2: They are setting the stage for 4 years of "resistance" due to "but the polls said. . . therefore muh Russia/Borneo interference."

I'm less likely to believe this one only because it requires a level of planning & conspiracy that I'm not sure they possess.

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