Probability= P(A) x P(B)
A= 16 Jan 2020 / 31 days in January
B= People arriving from china into the US from china in january 2020 -300,000
https://www.factcheck.org/2020/03/the-facts-on-trumps-travel-restrictions/
(sorry for crap sauce)
2 cases detected on 24 January 2020 from arrivals - no exact date given for their arrival - 24 Jan was when they were diagnosed with covid.
A= 1/31
B = 1/150,000
P= 1 in 4,650,000
Probability of a positive covid case entering the US on 16 Jan 2020
Add the same day Pelosi takes impeachment papers to senate and:
Constitution ratified 21 June 1788
number of days since then 84,845
There has only been three impeachment’s one US history where the papers were walked from house to senate. 3/84845= 28,281.66666666667
The probability of that happening is
1 in 131,509,750,000
For comparison:
-
Odds of being called to “Come on down!” on The Price Is Right — 1 in 36
-
Odds of being audited by the IRS — 1 in 160
-
Odds of being involved in a drunk driving crash — 2 out of 3
-
Odds of being born with 11 fingers or toes — 1 in 500
-
Odds of winning an Oscar — 1 in 11,500
-
Odds of finding a pearl in an oyster — 1 in 12,000
-
Odds of being drafted by the NBA — 1 in 3,333 for men, 1 in 5,000 for women
-
Odds of going blind after laser eye surgery — 1 in 5 million
-
Odds of being injured by a toilet — 1 in 10,000
-
Odds of dying in an airplane crash — 1 in 205,552
-
Odds of getting killed by fireworks — 1 in 340,733
-
Odds of being struck by lightning — 1 in 114,195
-
Odds of becoming a billionaire — 1 in 3,170,290
-
Odds falling to your death — 1 in 119
-
Odds of getting attacked by a shark — 1 in 3,748,067
-
Odds of winning $1 million in the McDonald’s Monopoly game — 1 in 451,822,158
-
Odds of winning the Powerball jackpot — 1 in 292,000,000