Totally different IMO…
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2016 Trump voters have not changed position
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2016 Democrat voters have greatly changed position favouring Trump now
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Minorities have changed position favouring Trump more than 2016
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Trump vehicle/boat Parades are huge
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Trump rallies are huge
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No rallies for Biden
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POTUS has better polling now than in 2016
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Deep state influence greatly diminished now in comparison to 2016
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voting much more secure now than in 2016
There are many more indicators more that could be listed.