Anonymous ID: 57b9f1 Oct. 28, 2020, 12:23 p.m. No.11326558   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>6751

Color Florida RED anons.

 

This site is illuminating…I know many here follow it: https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/

 

CNBC independent columnist Jake Novak (who called a Trump win in June of 2016 when nobody even remotely thought it was possible) watches this data closely and says an Election Day Dem lead of 215,000 or less virtually assures a Trump win. Check out his analysis in the below Twitter link. With Dems dominating mail-in voting, the expectation has been that Reps would make up in EV and Election Day. The numbers bear this out. So Dems needed to build up an insurmountable mail-in advantage…they predictably built a numeric advantage, but fell short of what they wanted (or needed). Once EV started, Republicans have been virtually storming the polls in FL. Novak says that most analysts feel a 235,000 gap is a sure win for Trump, but he’s being ultra-conservative and going with 215k. So if 215k is the goal, for context the shortfall was 32,000 this morning, and it was over 150,000 yesterday. BOOM! We just crossed over the 215k goal a few minutes ago. Everything after this simply adds to the cushion going into Nov. 3rd.

 

Note: All of this assumes R to D crossover is roughly the same as D to R crossover. Most objective number crunchers feel D to R crossover will be significantly more than the converse.

 

https://twitter.com/jakejakeny/status/1320802361447796736