https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/pittsburgh-newspaper-backs-trump-in-first-gop-presidential-endorsement-since-1972/ar-BB1aAMeo?ocid=msedgntp
By Jack Davis
Published November 1, 2020 at 9:34am
Two pollsters who predicted President Donald Trump would win in 2016 are warning Americans that national polls showing Democrat Joe Biden with a lead over the president should be taken with a grain of salt.
“There’s a lot of hidden Trump votes out there. Will Biden win the popular vote? Probably. I’m not even debating that. But I think Trump is likely to have an Electoral College victory,” Robert Cahaly, a Republican pollster with the Trafalgar Group, whose 2016 surveys correctly predicted Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida and North Carolina would all end up in the Trump column, told Politico.
Cahaly predicted that when the results are in, “People are going to be shocked. A lot of people are going to vote this year who have been dormant or low-propensity voters. I think it’s going to be at an all-time high.”
As Hillary Clinton found in 2016, winning the popular vote on the strength of vast numbers in deep-blue California and New York was a hollow triumph when Trump won the electoral vote.
Comments from Arie Kapteyn, a Dutch economist who oversees the University of Southern California’s Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research and whose pre-Election Day polling in 2016 predicted a Trump popular vote victory, suggest Trump loyalists who fly under the radar of social judgment could make a big difference in the voting.
https://www.westernjournal.com/two-pollsters-called-2016-make-huge-prediction-people-going-shocked/?ff_source=site&ff_medium=protrumpnews&ff_campaign=can
President Donald Trump is poised to win re-election in an Electoral College landslide, according to a poll released on Sunday.
The Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll of 1,500 likely voters was conducted between October 28 and October 30 and shows Trump with a one point lead over Democratic candidate Joe Biden in the national popular vote, 48 percent to 47 percent. Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen receives two percent of the vote, and Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins receives one percent of the vote.
The national popular vote results are within the poll’s 2.5 percent margin of error.
The poll also shows the president leading in the Electoral College by a margin of 326 to 212. On election day 2016, the president won 306 Electoral College votes to 232 for Hillary Clinton. The Constitution provides that a candidate must win a majority of the Electoral College votes cast–270 out of 538–to win the presidency.
According to Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll, Trump leads in all the states he won in 2016, and is poised to gain 20 additional Electoral College votes in three states Hillary Clinton won in 2016: Minnesota (10 Electoral College votes), Nevada (six Electoral College votes), and New Hampshire (four electoral college votes.)
The poll shows President Trump with record levels of support among Black and Hispanic voters.
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/11/01/democracy-institute-poll-electoral-college-landslide-for-donald-trump/