Michael Bloomberg’s Hawkfish invented the “Red Mirage”
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/what-is-a-e2-80-98red-mirage-e2-80-99-michael-bloomberg-e2-80-99s-hawkfish-warns-of-a-nightmarish-election-crisis/ar-BB18Bds1
The analysis does not appear to account for differences across states in ballots processing.
https://www.newsweek.com/trump-red-mirage-election-night-victory-unlikely-political-scientists-1531709