>>11598643 pb

No, that's not what that chart says.

The chart does not say this

"people voted for GOP Senator, Congressman, etc, but for Biden."

at all.

The blue dots represent Biden votes, the red dots represent Trump votes - in the various precincts in Oakland County Michigan.

Where those dots are placed are determined by 2 things.

1) of the straight ticket ballots - either straight ticket GOP or straight ticket Democrat - what percentage in that district were GOP straight ticket. That's the 0% to 80% going from left to right. On the left, the mostly Democrat, on the right, the mostly GOP. The Trump and Biden dots are as far to the left and to the right as they are based on the percentage of straight ticket voting for Dems and GOP.

2) The dot is as far up or down as it is based on how well Biden and Trump did, compared to the straight ticket percentage. You can figure out what percentage of the vote that Biden and Trump got, in that district. If a red dot is bottom right, you can figure out Trumps vote percentage in that district by looking across at the GOP straight ticket vote percentage - let's say 70%, and look at the underperform percentage, let's say 10%, and you'll see that Trump got 60% in that district.

THIS THEORY SEEMS TO BE TOTAL BS TO ME.

If you're a GOP voter, how can you vote the best for GOP candidates?

Vote Straight Ticket GOP.

You cannot outdo that. You can tie it, by filling out GOP in each individual race, but you can't outdo it.

Wouldn't "normal" be numbers worse than 70% for Trump for those people who don't vote straight ticket in a district with 70% GOP of the straight ticketers?

For all we know, these are districts that are 50% GOP registration, yet are hitting 70% straight ticket GOP and 60% Trump overall.

The assumptions that Shiva is making are wrong. He assumes that if 70% of the straight ticket votes are for GOP, then all the GOP candidates should get 70% total, from everybody. There is no reason to think that.

A person who wants to only vote for GOP or Dem will vote straight ticket. The person who wants to vote for both Dems and GOP will, 100% of the time, choose not to vote straight ticket.

Because of that, the general tendency that you will see is that when the GOP straight ticket number is high, that the GOP overall number will be lower, because of GOP voters choosing a Dem or 2. Hand a registered GOP voter a ballot, and that GOP voter cannot do better than voting straight ticket, but that GOP voter definitely can do worse, by voting for a Dem.