>>11601558 pb
Tie this in with the Silva analysis.
I'm not sure that I buy the Silva analysis, but lets assume there is something there.
Here's how the math might go.
Let's say it's 70% straight ticket GOP.
And let's say that Trump is at 60% overall.
What we're guessing might happen is that when someone votes straight ticket GOP, Trump does not get the President vote, because Trump is not REPUBLICAN, HES REPUBIICAN. The straight party ticket votes for Trump simply vanish.
If nobody thinks about it all that much, the numbers wouldn't be changed all that much. Straight ticket votes aren't really all that common. 70% Trump straight ticket, 70% normal voting = 70% overall.
But it was 60% overall. So,
700 normal votes for Trump.
700 of 1167 is 60%
167 votes flushed? 19.2
700 good votes kept? 80.7
867 total Trump votes.
Look for precincts that have a big number of straight ticket votes.
Look at total votes, and look at total votes for President.
Look for places where Trump underperforms top GOP candidates.
But the idea is that Trump is missing votes from the straight ticket voting GOP.