http://www.mollymccann.com/arizona-slipping-away-georgia-recount-doj-fbi-betrayal/
Eight days after the election, Arizona is still counting votes, but after the latest returns, it looks like Trump probably won’t be able to overtake Biden. I could be wrong. I’d be happy to be wrong tomorrow. But, it doesn’t look good.
Arizona
Trump is still down by 11,635 after a recent group of results didn’t break where he needed them to. Decision Desk moved Arizona fully blue. There are 18,514 provisional ballots outstanding and 24,748 total still out. The bulk still out are from Pima. The big question is how many provisional ballots end up actually counting, and I don’t know the answer to that. The numbers are tough. In my opinion, we really needed to win this cleanly, and although I am no election numbers expert, I don’t see that happening at this point. The final tally will still be razor thin, and it may be that once the lawsuits are sorted, Trump pulls it out. For tonight, it is certainly not the news we wanted.
It turns out that the Arizona recount law is much tougher than I thought it was. I don’t think that this race will trigger a recount, but according to Trump campaign official Boris Epshteyn, individual counties can do recounts. There are, of course, legal challenges ongoing in Arizona, including a suit in Maricopa called the “Don’t Touch the Green Button.” To me, it hardly sounds like a game-changer, but I haven’t looked at any of the filings.
In today's update, Chairwoman @kelliwardaz talks about the lawsuit filed against Maricopa County for disenfranchising voters. pic.twitter.com/gFNLvrB3GQ
— Arizona Republican Party (@AZGOP) November 11, 2020
Snell & Wilmer, the largest firm representing the Trump campaign, withdraw as counsel today. According to Westlaw: “Two other large law firms that have represented the Trump campaign in election litigation, Jones Day and Porter Wright Morris & Arthur, have faced an onslaught of online criticism this week from critics who say the cases erode confidence in the democratic process, sparked by a Monday New York Times story focused on the firms’ roles.” Notice how the NYT is leveraging public opinion and criticism against Trump’s efforts–“erode confidence in the democratic process.” More on AZ litigation here.
Importantly, Dominion was used in Arizona. If we are right about Dominion, a lot of things will suddenly be in play.
Georgia
Biden is up 14,056 in Georgia. The state announced today it would go to a hand recount, which it anticipates will take three weeks. Georgia’s Secretary of State (a Republican who believes the election results are accurate), said that the recount would be “an audit, a recount, and a re-canvas all at once,” which will “be a heavy lift.” To me, the key here is that the audit has to be super rigorous and carefully observed by pro-Trump supporters. Harmeet Dhillon said on Lou Dobbs tonight that the audit would “at a minimum, sample these ballots to verify their accuracy.” I’d like more details on what that means, but the minimum doesn’t sound great. Some election audits are more along the lines of making sure the machines work properly and, as Harmeet noted, sampling a few ballots for accuracy. I don’t think that will be good enough. We cannot win this fight using the traditional methods. The stats suggest that DeKalb and Fulton Counties had ballot dumps. The Republican Party should insist on an investigation of these two counties.
Battle For The White House: @pnjaban says hundreds of lawyers will set the “gold standard” for election integrity while helping @realDonaldTrump prevail in Georgia’s recount. #MAGA #AmericaFirst #Dobbs pic.twitter.com/yuhNd1dCo9
— Lou Dobbs (@LouDobbs) November 11, 2020
Doug Collins, as I mentioned in an earlier post, is overseeing the recount in Georgia for the Trump campaign. He is a good guy, so let’s pray the audit is a rigorous one. The Republican Party in Georgia sounds like it is a hot mess right now, though. Talk about bad timing for an intra-party meltdown.
Michigan & Wisconsin
Wisconsin should have been ours, and currently about 20,557 votes separate Biden and Trump. If there was fraud there, which there pretty clearly was, I think this state could flip. In Michigan the deficit is much larger. Biden leads by 146,137. I haven’t tracked these two states closely, but given where we are in Arizona, I will start to dig into them tomorrow.
If we can’t take Arizona—assuming we take Pennsylvania, which is the safest bet of 2020—we can still win with Georgia and Wisconsin. Both Georgia and Wisconsin have highly suspicious counties that have been tagged for likely fraud by the stats team. If we can prove it, we can flip them.
PT 1