Anonymous ID: dae66d Nov. 12, 2020, 5:04 a.m. No.11607627   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>7642 >>7654 >>7662 >>7771 >>7841 >>7948 >>8098

VERY interesting, from 2015.

 

Book Review: The Hundred-Year Marathon

By: Wendell Minnick   January 27, 2015

 

…According to Pillsbury, the plan has become known as "the Hundred-Year Marathon" from 1949 to 2049. "The goal is to avenge or wipe-clean (xi xue) past foreign humiliations." Then China will set up a world order that will be fair to China, a world without American global supremacy, and revise the U.S.-dominated economic and geopolitical world order founded at Bretton Woods at the end of World War II…

 

…The term "panda hugger" ("red team") is often ascribed to a person who serves as an apologist of China's more diabolical activities and policies. Pillsbury does not reveal the opposite, which is known as a "dragon-slayer" or "panda slugger" ("blue team").

 

Pillsbury is convinced that after decades of studying China, these hard-line views are not fringe, but are very much in the mainstream of Chinese geostrategic thought. The strength of the Hundred-Year Marathon, however, is that it operates through stealth. To borrow from the movie Fight Club, the first rule of the Marathon is that you do not talk about the Marathon….

 

…Pillsbury looks to the Warring States Period of Chinese history as the template for today's hawks in Beijing. The nine principle elements of Chinese strategy include the following:

 

  1. Induce complacency to avoid alerting your opponent.

 

  1. Manipulate your opponent's advisers. "Such efforts have been a hallmark of China's relations with the United States."

 

  1. Be patient – for decades, or longer – to achieve victory.

 

  1. Steal your opponent's ideas and technology for strategic purposes.

 

  1. Military might is not the critical factor for winning a long-term competition. "This partly explains why China has not devoted more resources to developing larger, more powerful military forces. Rather than relying on a brute accumulation of strength, Chinese strategy advocates targeting an enemy's weak points and biding one's time."

 

  1. Recognize that the hegemon will take extreme, even reckless action to retain its dominant position. Pillsbury writes that in today's context – "the United States will not go quietly into the night as its power declines relative to others."

 

  1. Never lose sight of shi. Pillsbury writes that the two elements of shi are critical components of Chinese strategy: "deceiving others into doing your bidding for you, and waiting for the point of maximum opportunity to strike."

 

  1. Establish and employ metrics for measuring your status relative to other potential challengers. "Chinese strategy places a high premium on assessing China's relative power, during peacetime and in the event of war, across a plethora of dimensions beyond just military considerations. The United States, by contrast, has never attempted to do this."

 

  1. Always be vigilant to avoid being encircled or deceived by others. "In what could be characterized as a deeply ingrained sense of paranoia, China's leaders believe that because all other potential rivals are out to deceive them, China must respond with its own duplicity."…

 

https://www.defensenews.com/opinion/intercepts/2015/01/27/book-review-the-hundred-year-marathon/