Copied from a comment on ZH:
Trafalgar Group Polling that is not using oversampling method:
Results of polling conducted on 1 and 2nd of November 2020.
One of the few pollsters that got it right in 2016 and 2018.
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/
The firm has also pioneered methods to deal with what they describe as “Social Desirability Bias” in order to get at what a poll participant’s true feelings are in situations where they believe some individuals in a poll are not likely to reveal their actual preferences. In their view, this included the 2016 Presidential election and the 2018 Florida gubernatorial election.
Georgia
Donald Trump 49.7%
Joe Biden 45.4%
Jo Jorgensen 2.6%
Someone Else 1.0%
Undecided 1.3%
Nevada
Donald Trump 49.1%
Joe Biden 48.4%
Jo Jorgensen 1.2%
Someone Else 0.8%
Undecided 0.5%
Florida
Donald Trump 49.4%
Joe Biden 47.3%
Jo Jorgensen 1.6%
Someone Else 0.7%
Undecided 1.0%
Arizona
Donald Trump 48.9%
Joe Biden 46.4%
Jo Jorgensen 2.3%
Someone Else 1.7%
Undecided 0.7%
Pennsylvania
Donald Trump 47.8%
Joe Biden 45.9%
Jo Jorgensen 1.4%
Someone Else 1.2%
Undecided 3.7%
Michigan
Donald Trump 48.3%
Joe Biden 45.8%
Jo Jorgensen 1.7%
Someone Else 1.3%
Undecided 3.0%