Whoever wins, we’ll be a fundamentally changed Israel when this election is over
It’ll be Bibi. Or maybe it won’t be Bibi. But our next leadership and legislature will be unprecedentedly right-wing. Unlike in the US, our political pendulum has stopped swinging
For the first time in Israeli history, our next election will be a battle fought overwhelmingly on the right wing of the political spectrum.
It will, however, have almost nothing to do with ideology. It will, rather, be all about that one man, again.
And yet whoever wins, it will result in a profoundly changed Israel.
The center-left Labor party, which led modern Israel for its first three decades, is almost certain to disappear from the political map. The Blue and White alliance, to which Benny Gantz drew hundreds of thousands of center-left voters by pledging repeatedly that he would not join forces with a Benjamin Netanyahu facing corruption charges, will vanish too.
Some of the voters Gantz abandoned will remain in the center-left, voting for Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid. But most, the surveys indicate — including at least some of the masses who have for months been demonstrating nationwide against Netanyahu — are heading toward the latest champions of the “anyone but Bibi” movement: the Orthodox-nationalist Naftali Bennett’s resurgent Yamina, and the hawkish Likud rebel Gideon Sa’ar’s newly formed and remarkably popular New Hope.
If our last three rapid-fire elections largely revolved around the question of whether Israelis wanted Netanyahu as our prime minister any longer — pushing to the margins what had once been core electoral issues such as the Palestinian conflict, settlements, the powers of the Supreme Court, and military service for the ultra-Orthodox — the March 2021 vote is all about whether Israelis want Netanyahu as our prime minister any longer.
Bennett and Sa’ar are soaring not because of their political ideology, but because, just as Blue and White claimed it did, they have made supplanting Netanyahu their flagship cause
Bennett seeks to annex most of the West Bank; Sa’ar opposes a two-state solution; both want to curb our justices’ authority; both would happily partner with the ultra-Orthodox parties. Yet while Bennett’s party won just six seats in the March 2020 election, and Sa’ar’s was just a twinkle in his eye, together they are now heading for a hefty 30-35 seats — soaring not because of their political ideology, but because, just as Blue and White claimed it did, they have made supplanting Netanyahu their flagship cause, “the order of the day,” as Sa’ar put it when announcing his breakaway two weeks ago.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/whoever-wins-well-be-a-fundamentally-changed-israel-when-this-election-is-over/