The only part of that messy scenario that has credence is the 'optics' of how things go down.
Right now (as far as we know, I think), Pence has not sent out the Constitutionally required letter to the rogue states that they need to send him (as President of the Senate) a State Legislature approved list of their electors.
ie. He failed to perform that Constitutional mandate.
On Jan 6th, he (as the President of the Senate) has the ability to discard the electors NOT certified by the States' Legislators. If he does not do this, he has AGAIN failed to perform his Constitutionally mandated task.
It has been said he will be leaving the Country after the vote. Gitmo bound?
What if PENCE is the first arrest?
NOW THE OPTICS ARE PERFECT!
Not only is the first arrest not a Dem, but [they] can't bitch that Trump has a vendetta against Dems, since the bust was his own VP!
I could easily see it all going down like that (not to say that it will).
However, the OPTICS would destroy the claims that [they] want to make, AND allow for the dominoes to start falling at the same time.