>>12241827 (pb)
Estimated 2020 total deaths
Posted over at QRB
Here is my estimate for total 2020 deaths:.
Take the 2019 weekly average to estimate the first 3 weeks in 2020
2019 deaths
2,854,838/12 =237, 903 / month
237, 903/4 = 59,476 / week
2020 deaths estimated for first 3 weeks
59,476 * 3 = 178,427
use the Covid weekly average to estimate the last week of 2020
Average weekly total deaths using 2020 Covid data
2,902,664 / 48 weeks= 60,472 /week
Estimated total deaths for 2020
2,902,664 +178,427 + 60472=
3,141,563
2018 to 2019 totals delta 15,633
2019 to 2020 totals delta 286,725
That's a pretty big difference maybe my estimate is way off, we'll know in a couple of weeks.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm