Anonymous ID: 63a63c Dec. 31, 2020, 8:37 p.m. No.12261703   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>1847

>>12241827 (pb)

 

Estimated 2020 total deaths

 

Posted over at QRB

 

>>>/QRB/43039

 

Here is my estimate for total 2020 deaths:.

 

Take the 2019 weekly average to estimate the first 3 weeks in 2020

 

2019 deaths

 

2,854,838/12 =237, 903 / month

 

237, 903/4 = 59,476 / week

 

2020 deaths estimated for first 3 weeks

 

59,476 * 3 = 178,427

 

use the Covid weekly average to estimate the last week of 2020

 

Average weekly total deaths using 2020 Covid data

 

2,902,664 / 48 weeks= 60,472 /week

 

Estimated total deaths for 2020

 

2,902,664 +178,427 + 60472=

 

3,141,563

 

2018 to 2019 totals delta 15,633

 

2019 to 2020 totals delta 286,725

 

That's a pretty big difference maybe my estimate is way off, we'll know in a couple of weeks.

 

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm