Numerous M5+ earthquakes & aftershocks on Kilauea. This is on the edge of a mountain taller than Everest (most underwater).
Hawaii has had enormous slides throughout history. Megatsunami risk if it goes.
Links to follow.
Should it slide, will be the greatest disaster in US (and possibly recorded) history.
General info & links
Latest earthquakes; note many quakes & aftershocks in tight area right along ledge:
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
Scroll to Hawaii in RT map:
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/#%7B%22autoUpdate%22%3A%5B%22autoUpdate%22%5D%2C%22basemap%22%3A%22grayscale%22%2C%22feed%22%3A%221day_m25%22%2C%22listFormat%22%3A%22default%22%2C%22mapposition%22%3A%5B%5B18.86763078254678%2C-155.9176006168127%5D%2C%5B19.92461772287267%2C-154.1048564761877%5D%5D%2C%22overlays%22%3A%5B%22plates%22%5D%2C%22restrictListToMap%22%3A%5B%22restrictListToMap%22%5D%2C%22search%22%3Anull%2C%22sort%22%3A%22newest%22%2C%22timezone%22%3A%22utc%22%2C%22viewModes%22%3A%5B%22list%22%2C%22map%22%5D%2C%22event%22%3Anull%7D
Never seen it light up so fast.
Geological maps:
https://www.wired.com/2011/11/geological-maps-of-volcanoes/
http://pubs.usgs.gov/imap/i2759/
Volcanic action:
https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/status.html
Currently at code orange
More to follow
Map is unreal. Activity everywhere:
https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/observatories/hvo/hvo_earthquakes.html
USGS Volcano twatter feed:
https://mobile.twitter.com/USGSVolcanoes
County of Hawaii Emergency notifications: sign up!
https://countyofhawaii.bbcportal.com/?
Public info from earlier today
HAWAIIAN VOLCANO OBSERVATORY DAILY UPDATE
U.S. Geological Survey
Friday, May 4, 2018, 7:45 AM HST (Friday, May 4, 2018, 17:45 UTC)
KILAUEA VOLCANO (VNUM #332010)
19°25'16" N 155°17'13" W, Summit Elevation 4091 ft (1247 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WARNING
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE
Summary: An eruption is in progress along Kīlauea Volcano's lower East Rift Zone. Since late afternoon May 3, at least three small fissure vents have opened in Leilani Estates subdivision in the lower Puna district. At this time, activity consists mostly of vigorous lava spattering. Additional outbreaks in the area are likely. Deflationary tilt at the summit of the volcano continues and the lava lake level continues to drop.
Photos and maps of activity will be posted to the HVO web site as they become available. https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/multimedia_chronology.html
Lower East Rift Zone:
The first outbreak of lava occurred late in the afternoon of May 3 following days of increased earthquake activity and ground deformation. As of this morning, three separate fissures have opened in the eastern portion of Leilani Estates. Each outbreak has been preceded by ground cracking and strong gas emission. Activity consists primarily of vigorous spattering of lava and development of very short lava flows that have yet to travel more than a few tens of yards from the vent. Earthquake activity in the area remains elevated and ground deformation is continuing. High levels of volcanic gas are reported around the fissure vents.
Residents of the Puna District to remain alert, review individual, family, and business emergency plans, and watch for further information about the status of the volcano. Hawaii County Civil Defense messages regarding conditions, warning, and evacuations may be found at http://www.hawaiicounty.gov/active-alerts/.
Summit Observations: Deflationary tilt at the summit continues. In concert, the summit lava lake is dropping. Tremor amplitude is fluctuating with lava lake spattering. Elevated summit sulfur dioxide emission rates persist. Gas emissions remain elevated. Current webcam views are here: https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/multimedia_webcams.html
Puʻu ʻŌʻō Observations: Seismicity remains elevated at Puʻu ʻŌʻō but tiltmeters near the cone show no significant deformation overnight. During fieldwork at Puʻu ʻŌʻō yesterday, no lava activity was observed in the area. The 61g lava flow is no longer being fed. The summit crater of the cone continues to collapse intermittently producing small plumes of ash; yesterday there were several episodes of ash emission in response to collapse, including immediately after the nearby M5.0 earthquake.
MORE INFORMATION
Activity Summary also available by phone: (808) 967-8862
Lava viewing information:
Hawai'i Volcanoes National Park: https://www.nps.gov/havo/planyourvisit/lava2.htm
County of Hawaii: http://www.hawaiicounty.gov/lava-viewing/
Kalapana lava-viewing area: 808-430-1966
Subscribe to these messages: https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/vns2/
Webcam images: https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/multimedia_webcams.html
Photos/Video: https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/multimedia_chronology.html
Lava Flow Maps: https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/multimedia_maps.html
Definitions of terms used in update: https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/extra/definitions.pdf
Overview of Kīlauea summit (Halemaʻumaʻu) and East Rift Zone (Puʻu ʻŌʻō ) eruptions:
https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/extra/background.pdf
Summary of volcanic hazards from Kīlauea eruptions:
https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/extra/hazards.pdf
Recent Earthquakes in Hawai'i (map and list):
https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hvo/earthquakes/
Explanation of Volcano Alert Levels and Aviation Color Codes:
https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/activity/alertsystem/index.php
https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2006/3139
Simulation videos of this area sliding into the ocean and resultant MegaTsunamis.
If this goes, the coast could be toast.
Old one showing Kilauea is next:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPIx0B9O8Us
If this goes:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=VvMUJKFjAiA
Another (NatGeo with better music)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=5s&v=Y0IgwVElUwE
Unstable Flanks and Eruptive Mechanics
Hawaii Lecture Notes specific to this area
https://hilo.hawaii.edu/~kenhon/GEOL205/Flank/default.htm
Paleoseismic Analysis of the South Flank of Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii
http://seismo.berkeley.edu/~burgmann/RESEARCH/HILINA/THESIS/PROSPECT/PROSPECT.html
What does this have to do with Q?
Well should things go awry in Kilauea, GEOTUS will be the focal point. You know the left will blame him (why didn't you do something, etc etc)
So let's sort out what's going on ahead of time.
Now getting M6+ EQ's
Latest M6.9!
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us1000dyad#executive
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us1000dyad#shakemap
Not good.
Earthquakes are all very shallow, <8km
http://ds.iris.edu/seismon/eventlist/index.phtml
You can actually LISTEN to specific earthquakes, scroll down:
http://ds.iris.edu/ds/nodes/dmc/tools/event/10768532
Some minor sea level changes noted:
http://ptwc.weather.gov/?region=2
000
WEHW42 PHEB 042327
TIBHWX
HIZ001>003-005>009-012>014-016>021-023>026-050127-
TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 3
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
127 PM HST FRI MAY 04 2018
TO - EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN THE STATE OF HAWAII
SUBJECT - LOCAL TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT
NOTE THAT THE MAGNITUDE HAS INCREASED FROM 6.4 TO 6.9.
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY. NO ACTION REQUIRED.
THIS EARTHQUAKE GENERATED SMALL SEA LEVEL CHANGES AT
SOME LOCATIONS ON THE BIG ISLAND. MEASUREMENTS INCLUDE
HILO 20 CM AMPLITUDE
KAPOHO 40 CM AMPLITUDE
HONUAPO 15 CM AMPLITUDE
AT ALL LOCATIONS THE FLUCTUATIONS ARE NOW DIMINISHING.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1233 PM HST 04 MAY 2018
COORDINATES - 19.3 NORTH 155.0 WEST
LOCATION - ON THE SOUTH FLANK OF KILAUEA VOLCANO
MAGNITUDE - 6.9
EVALUATION
NO TSUNAMI IS EXPECTED. REPEAT. NO TSUNAMI IS EXPECTED.
HOWEVER…MANY AREAS MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED STRONG SHAKING.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED.
$$
Higher res chart showing peior slumps qnd depths around Hawaii
https://www.pifsc.noaa.gov/cred/himap/plots/pdfs/MainHI_SHOALS.jpg
Data from a slide long ago in the sqme area:
Perspective view of the Big Island of Hawaii, looking northeast. The giant Alika landslide descended the western slope of the volcano Mauna Loa (ML). The northern lobe of the landslide, Alika 2, was about 120 cubic miles in volume (the 1980 Mt. St. Helens landslide was less than one cubic mile). Sediments lying on top of the Alika 2 debris are 120,000 years old.
credit: Gerard Fryer, SOEST/University of Hawaii
http://www.soest.hawaii.edu/SOEST_News/PressReleases/Megatsunami/
Coincidentally, the volume commonly used for the LaPalma / Cumbre Vieja model Atlantic megatsunami is also 120 cu. Mi. (500 km3)
https://blogs.agu.org/landslideblog/2017/07/14/la-palma-part-2/
To get an idea of times of arrival and magnitude of a similar tsunami hitting the left coast, see attached pic
I don't.
Underwater observatory data from a station NW of Oahu @ 5000m depth
http://aco-ssds.soest.hawaii.edu/dataDisplay.php
Lots of stuff, seismograms, salinity, temperature, pressure etc. You can listen to their hydrophones real-time. They have some libraries of earthquakes you can listen to also. Sped up because seismic is subsonic
http://aco-ssds.soest.hawaii.edu/dataDisplay.php
Pohakuloa, Hawaii seismic station data (on MK)
http://ds.iris.edu/mda/IU/POHA
http://ds.iris.edu/ds/nodes/dmc/tools/stationmonitor/IU/POHA/
Currently showing 1 Day, Magnitude 2.5+ U.S.
112 of 136 earthquakes in map area.
112 M2.5+ quakes on the big islqnd in on3 day.
Max M6.9. Bunch in between.
That's just nuts. Everytime you look at the USGS "Latest Earthquakes" map it updates with another one.
Drudge now leading with Hawaii story
http://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/story/38087728/puna-warned-series-of-quakes-could-indicate-eruption-is-possible
Latest from USGS
More
New map of 8 eruptive fissures in #LeilaniEstates subdivision in order of formation. More fissure vents with spatter & small lava flows formed early this morning (May 5) & new outbreaks likely.
https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/status.html … #KilaueaErupts #kilauea #usgs #hvo #hawaiianvolcanoobservatory
If you look at the current map of Hawaii and the number & location of earthquakes (currently 217 Mw.5 or greater over the past 24 hours) it overlaps the region likely to slide almost perfectly.
Tinyurl com/ydez3676
Will it go? Nobody knows. But 200+ earthquakes from 2.5 to 6.9 in one day on a ledge of a mountain is not reassuring.
"Experts" are claiming the remnants of the Hillna sluml (itself unstable" are propping everything up.
So how energetic has the Hawaiian EQ swarm been?
I looked and found this:
A magnitude 4.0 earthquake is only equivalent to about 6 tons of TNT explosives, but because the Richter scale is a base-10 logarithmic scale, the amount of energy released increases quickly: A magnitude 5.0 earthquake is about 200 tons of TNT, magnitude 6.0 is 6,270 tons, 7.0 is 199,000 tons, 8.0 is 6,270,000 tons, and 9.0 is 99,000,000 tons of TNT. As you can imagine, 99 million tons of TNT is enough to destroy just about anything, and is the equivalent of about 25,000 nuclear bombs. (This is according to the Center for Earthquake Research and Information and the U.S. Geological Survey.)"
So the M6.9.was nearly a 200kT event. That's in the neighborhood of the one that collapsed the NK Nuclear testing mountain.
Food for thought.
Kilauea eruption has upgraded aircraft warning status to code Red.
https://twitter.com/USGSVolcanoes/status/996778283290128384
https://www.usgs.gov/news/k-lauea-volcano-erupts
Video of fissures at link:
http://m.hawaiinewsnow.com/hawaiinewsnow/db/330510/content/SscMN4tK
Bunches of pics to follow
More pics
More
thought the traffic barriers were a nice touch.
UPS volcano alert
https://www.ups.com/us/en/service-alerts.page?id=alert1
This must be pretty serious…
In other Hawaii news, DHS busted a massage parlor / sex trafficking operation
http://m.hawaiinewsnow.com/hawaiinewsnow/db/330510/content/bjj2nc49
Waiting for authorities to claim they lost obomas birth cert in a "tragic magma accident"
Animation of the 2018 earthquake bombardment of the big island:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bm9ezJQBOXs
They have been getting seriously pummeled.
Kilauea from space
https://twitter.com/ESA_EO/status/1000014130257055747
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/NaturalHazards/view.php?id=92194&src=eorss-nh
Timelapse from nearby observatory showing glow from Kilauea
https://www.gemini.edu/node/21057
"Star trail image showing glow from volcanic eruptions in Hawaii (bright glow right of center). A bright meteor and the greenish glow of the town of Hilo can be seen left of center. Image produced by stacking about 100 images (about one hour) from a time lapse sequence obtained from the Gemini North telescope's cloud camera on the night of May 21-22. Credit: Gemini Observatory/AURA/NSF star trail image compiled by Joy Pollard."
Here's where thinhs take an unexpected turn:
There is a geothermal plant which has been injecting water into the volcano to produce steam and thus produce power.
"However, more worrying for now is that fact that the lava crossed onto the Puna Geothermal Venture (PGV) Saturday evening local time, according to the U.S. Geological Survey, having destroyed dozens of nearby houses in the past few days.
Since Hawaii’s Kilauea volcano began a once-in-a-century-scale eruption May 3, authorities have shutdown the plant, removed 60,000 gallons of flammable liquid and deactivated wells that tap into steam and gas deep in the Earth’s core.
But, as Reuters reports, lava has never engulfed a geothermal plant anywhere in the world and the potential threat is untested, according to the head of the state’s emergency management agency.
Residents have complained of health hazards from emissions from the plant since it went online in 1989 and PGV has been the target of lawsuits challenging its location on the flank of one of the world’s most active volcanoes.
The Israeli-owned 38 megawatt plant typically provides around 25 percent of electricity on the Big Island, according to local power utility Hawaii Electric Light.
Operator Ormat Technologies last week said there was no above-ground damage to the plant but it would have to wait until the situation stabilized to assess the impact of earthquakes and subterranean lava flows on the wells.
However, as we detailed previously, there is a long-running debate about whether PGV is fracking. The debate may be a matter of terminology, because in the geothermal process, as hawaiifracking.com reports, “…the drilling and the injection of cold water into hot rocks used in geothermal energy plants does fracture the rocks, which can induce earthquakes and through contamination of the atmosphere and water tables can affect our health and safety.”
Whether deep injection of fluid aims to capture oil, gas, or heat (geothermal), the beginning stage of the process is the same.
Earthquakes induced by this water-injection could obviously trigger a volcano."
More to follow…
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-27/stunning-images-space-widening-advancing-lava-flow-reaches-hawaii-power-plant
"For example, here is an alarming article about a geothermal project in Switzerland. Swissinfo.ch, December 10, 2009:
“The authorities in canton Basel City say they will cancel a geothermal energy project, which three years ago caused minor tremors that damaged many buildings.”
“A risk analysis study published on Thursday found that the danger of setting off more earthquakes was too great if drilling at the site resumed.”
“The project was put on hold three years ago after thousands of claims for damage were filed with insurers. Total costs for the damage were around SFr9 million ($8.78 million).”
“The study, commissioned by the canton, concluded that Basel was ‘unfavourable’ for geothermal power generation.”
“It said the resumption of Deep Heat Mining project and its operation over a 30-year period could set off around 200 tremors with a strength of up to 4.5 on the Richter Scale – in 2006, the quakes were about 3.4.”
“This would result in damages up to SFr40 million.”
“The Basel facility drilled five kilometres into the earth. The borehole was designed to be injected with water to capture the extreme heat. Back at the surface, the hot water – at a temperature of around 160° Celsius – would run a steam turbine coupled with a generator.”
"This Swiss article outlines the risks, and also confirms that deep water-injection is used in the geothermal process—which can and does trigger earthquakes."
Wall of text, I know. The next post is gonna make your jaw drop…
Ormat is no stranger to scandals. At blog.heartland.org, H Sterling Burnett writes (4/1/15):
"One scandal that could haunt [Harry] Reid for his remaining time in the Senate (and possibly beyond) was reported on recently in the Washington Free Beacon and Courthouse News. It seems the Reid helped the green energy company, Ormat Technologies, a firm that owns and manages geothermal plants in California and Hawaii, secure nearly $136 million in economic stimulus funding from the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.”
“Two former employees are suing the firm, claiming Ormat executives defrauded the United States of more than $130 million by reporting false information about two projects to get government grants, a federal judge ruled Tuesday.”
“Reid’s ties to Ormat are deep. The company runs geothermal plants in Nevada and Reid has been a big booster of the company in D.C. As reported in the Free Beacon, ‘Reid bragged about securing Ormat a $350 million loan guarantee from the Department of Energy (DOE) and took credit for expanding the Treasury program that the former employees say illicitly provided Ormat with millions more in taxpayer funds’.”
“It is also worth noting that Ormat’s DOE award came a year after investors sued the company for allegedly inflating its stock price through ‘fraudulent accounting and overstated financial results.’ Ormat settled the allegations in 2012 for $3.1 million.”
Harry fvckin Reid got bribed to let these IDIOTS drill a volcano and inject cold Pacific water into it and do it with our money.
Ormat is based out of Nevada.
https://www.haaretz.com/1.5077462
Worth a dig or two…
Kilauea eruptiins started May 4.
Ormat stock was sold off immediately:
Look at the one monty view.
The insiders knew what was happeningm
They knew.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/fi-126.1.ORA.NYS?ocid=INSFIST10
Pretty much constant (several per hour) M2.5's on top of each other now. Crazy.
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
News is not reassuring:
"Geologists are also monitoring widening cracks in a number of roadways in Leilani Estates, ground zero for the ongoing eruptions.
Steve Brantley, of the USGS, said the large cracks, which have torn roads apart in some places or created gaps of 1 yard or wider, are an indication that magma is continuing to enter the rift zone.
"The rift zone is being forced apart," he said. "I think clearly it points to the potential for additional eruptive activity" in lower Puna.
Marzo, the resident, said he saw a crack on Nohea Street widen from about 3 feet on Thursday morning to about 10 feet wide later in the day. He also said that about 40 yards of the road sank."
Remarkable pics coming out.
Would be neat to visit, but what a powderkeg.
M5.5 Volcanic eruption.
Think this is the third…
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/hv70228857#executive
Earthquakes reach fever pitch.
>500 in 24 hours.
"Crack in the World" scenario.
Scientists mull nuclear option
https://io9.gizmodo.com/5844668/what-would-really-happen-if-you-nuked-a-volcano
Could anti-matter bomb hold the key?
Canadian physicist weighs in
Nuke Kilauea motion passes UN vote
"What could go wrong?"
Another M5.5 eruption
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us1000ej12#executive