Disagree wholeheartedly on point 1. They aren't bringing in UV scanners for no apparent reason.
Ihalfagree on point 2. They could have refused the 1mln bond because they knew there was no point in paying it. But you are right, they might have an ace up their sleve.
Point 3 is a good point, but the difference this time is that finally there is an investigation.
Point 4 is good.