4-6% lost forever.
Early research on the continued risk of violence related to Trump’s “big lie” has produced a wide variety of findings. One political scientist at the University of Chicago estimated, based on a single national survey in March, that the current size of an ongoing “insurrectionist movement” in the US might be as large as 4% of American adults, or about 10 million people.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/apr/16/americans-republicans-stolen-election-violence-trump