C130 update
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=50HpWo0iC-o
From local language broadcast. Wife anon translated and here are the high points:
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This is in fact one of the C-130's transferred from the USA in January
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Pilot was well qualified in C-130s
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Survivor #1 reports on landing the plane was severely porpoising up and down, he heard a loud bang.
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Survivor #2 has at least 20 other flights on C-130's to compare, but none with a landing like this. Seemed the plane could not stop.
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Deceased officer had a convo with his wifu before takeoff, plane was delayed for a maintenance issue and he was a little worried.
Some local stories have been circulating on FB about someone falling from the plane, or one of the landing gear not being down. I'm considering these to be rumors at the moment. Neither of these survivors said they fell from the plane.
My theory is some kind of wind shear or control issue causing the bobbing, and the 'bang' was the plane hitting the ground. After bouncing back up, it could not decelerate quick enough. Does not look like it 'missed' the runway as some reports have indicated. Official story right now a combination of 'weather and pilot error'.
You can bet investigators are pouring over the maintenance log books right now and interviewing everyone. I guess we will know more later.