6
Lost Votes
The most problematic issue we have seen in the canvass comes from our analysis of the
data showing that Maricopa County is missing votes from an estimated 173,104 voters.
During the canvass, hundreds of people who showed in the Maricopa County records as
not voting in the election reported that they actually did vote in the election.
Registered Voters Interviewed Who Were Shown By Maricopa County As Not Voting
Warner Dunbar Waggoner Rittenhouse Countywide Total
Maricopa County: Didn't Vote 714 134 43 35 38 964
Actually Voted 249 50 13 9 9 330
34.87% 37.31% 30.23% 25.71% 23.68% 34.23%
During the canvass, of the 4,570 registered voters we gathered data on, 964 individuals
were interviewed at their residence who were registered to vote in Maricopa County but
whom the county said did not vote. Of those 964, 34.23%, or 330 people, said they had
actually voted. Overall, there were 505,709 people in the county registered to vote who
did not have a vote recorded in the election*. Extrapolating these results to the entire
county, which can be done at a scientifically correlated confidence level of 95%, it is
estimated that 173,104 voters had their votes stolen. Given the canvass confidence
interval of 1.5, this number technically ranges from 165,518 to 180,690 voters.
The canvass team can make sworn affidavits supporting these findings readily available.
Interestingly, this data parallels the findings of a study conducted by Matt Braynard in
November of 2020, where he phone surveyed 710 registered republican voters in Arizona
who did not have a vote recorded by the State. In his survey 356, or 50.1%, of those
surveyed stated that they had in fact cast a mail-in ballot.
*This data was obtained from the 12/10/2020 VM34 Maricopa County Registration List
7
Ghost Votes
The second-most problematic issue we have seen in the canvass comes from our analysis
of the data showing that Maricopa County recorded an estimated 96,389 mail-in votes
that likely could not have been physically cast by the voter that the vote was registered
to. These voters did not have a secondary mailing address and were either unknown to
the residents who lived at their voting address since September 2020 or were known but
were confirmed to not have lived at the residence since prior to the election, and often
had not lived there for many years. By law mail-in ballots are not forwarded, so it would
not have been possible for these voters to have been in physical possession of their
ballots.
A specific example to better illustrate what this problem looks like: One of the
individuals that we canvassed has owned and lived at their home for more than a decade.
For a time during 2010, they rented a room out to someone who later moved out- of
Arizona. Looking back historically, although the renter had moved out of state, a vote
had been cast under their name, by mail, continuing to use the same residence address,
in the 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020 elections. The homeowner is innocent in this.
The person who moved away is innocent as well. But somehow another person or group
of people has been able to fraudulently submit mail-in votes using the former renterβs
information in multiple elections.
Mail-In Ballots Cast Under Registered Voters Who Were Unknown to the Voting
Address Residents or had Moved
Warner Dunbar Waggoner Rittenhouse Countywide Total
Voters Home and Interviewed 1985 503 523 280 315 3606
Mail-in Voters Registered to Residence 1547 276 564 239 271 2897
Unknown or Moved Prior to October 90 11 29 12 22 164
5.82% 3.99% 5.14% 5.02% 8.12% 5.66%
During the canvass data on registered voters was gathered from registered voters at their
residences, with 3606 of them listed by Maricopa County as having voted in the election.
2,897 were recorded by the county as having voted by mail . During that process, 164