https://asiatimes.com/2021/09/evergrande-debt-crisis-showing-signs-of-contagion/
On Tuesday, Moody’s downgraded the corporate family rating (CFR) of Evergrande from “Caa1” to “Ca” and the developer’s senior unsecured ratings from “Caa2” to “C.” It also downgraded the CFRs of Evergrande subsidiaries Hengda Real Estate Group, Tianji Holding Ltd, and the backed senior unsecured ratings of Scenery Journey Limited.
According to Moody’s ratings, “Ca” refers to “default imminent with little prospect for recovery” while “C” refers to “in default.”
Moody’s said Evergrande’s unrestricted cash on hand of 86.8 billion yuan (US$13.45 billion) as of the end of June in 2021 was not sufficient to cover its short-term debt and maturing long-term debt over the next 12 months. It said the company would unlikely be able to raise sufficient new funds for refinancing given its deteriorated access to onshore and offshore funding markets.
Tse kay-chung, a co-director and a property analyst at the Bocom International Securities Limited, said it remained unclear whether the central government had already intervened in Evergrande’s debt matter. Tse said if Beijing did not offer help, Evergrande’s unfinished properties would have to be abandoned, resulting in a huge negative impact on China’s property markets and banking system.
Tse said it was likely that the central government would announce a debt-restructuring plan for Evergande in the fourth quarter, either by changing the developer into a state-owned enterprise or liquidating its assets.