dChan
Anonymous ID: 984608 Oct. 3, 2021, 5:46 a.m. No.14710902   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>0918 >>0938 >>0966

https://web.archive.org/web/20060510064356/http://www.alicebot.org/style.pdf

 

People have often imagined that A. L. I. C. E. is like Netscape in 1995, poised to take off on the next great S-curve of growth. But I have argued it is more like Apple in 1975, or the whole PC industry at that time. We are mainly amateurs and hobbyists, with few real business applications we can point to. Yet we all have the same kind of "fever" that gripped an earlier generation of PC enthusiasts. We KNOW this is the Next Big Thing. We KNOW we are the vanguard of the revolution.

 

The first Apple appeared in 1975. But the technology adoption curve for PCs doesn't even begin until 1980. Those early PC pioneers were like Philo Farnsworth and his TV picture tube. They knew that they had a great thing, but getting people to adopt it was like feeding them liver. Jobs, Wozniak, Gates and friends only had to wait five years, compared to Farnsworth's twenty. I've been at A. L. I. C. E. and AIML for almost seven years now.

 

I don't know if we are on the knee, on the ramp, or if the adoption curve has even started yet. I have learned in seven years not to expect miracles, and to have patience. Unfortunately we need the perspective of ten or twenty years to see what is really happening here.