I could only take about 25 seconds of that.
So, what is nancy, the Grand Brazieer?
What is that pin she wears?
Wasn't Gabbert wearing one of these,? Only hers had no hanging dilly whopper.
The standing of the party with voters, at this time, isnât in doubt. Itâs awful. Bidenâs average job approval rating on July 20 was 52.4% in the RealClearPolitics average before tanking precipitously and taking the partyâs fortunes with him as the delta variant surged and American troops withdrew from Afghanistan in a deadly and tragic exit. RCP currently has him at 43.3%. His approval in Gallup has dropped 13 points since June, six points in this last month. The latest Quinnipiac University poll had Bidenâs approval/disapproval at 38/53, down four points in three weeks. Specific findings on leadership questions were dreadful, with Bidenâs numbers falling since April by nine points on the question of whether he cares about average Americans, seven points on whether he is honest, and nine points on whether he has good leadership skills.
The latest Morning Consult/Politico findings from last week showed Bidenâs approval underwater across the board, at 45% approval overall, at 40% on the economy, 44% on health care, 40% on national security, 33% on immigration and 36% on foreign policy. The only number not underwater was Bidenâs COVID approval of 49%-46%, 30 points lower than it was last spring. Across all polling Bidenâs approval on the questions of competence and accomplishment have suffered. And that Morning Consult/Politico survey stated, âThe shares of independent and Democratic voters who say Biden has underperformed expectations have doubled over the past three months.â
The decline in COVID deaths, hospitalizations and infections and the disappearance of Afghanistan from the news has done nothing to stabilize the downward trajectory. In order for Democrats to stay competitive in the midterm elections, Bidenâs approval would have to get back up to 50%-52%.
Low presidential approval ratings have correlated to significant losses for the president's party in the last four midterm elections of 2018, 2014, 2010 and 2006.
Meanwhile Republicans have narrowed the margin in the congressional generic ballot, and a September Morning Consult/Politico poll found â58% of GOP voters say theyâre âextremelyâ or âveryâ enthusiastic to vote in the 2022 midterms, up 10 points since July.â
Even if their polling was good, Democrats face fierce headwinds next year: historical trends that favor the party out of power in the midterms in a presidentâs first term, a fragile four-seat margin in the House and no margin in the Senate, all of which can easily erase their congressional majorities, and redistricting maps that favor the GOP. In addition, the party is facing new liabilities in voter registration â it has lost registered voters in critical states in considerable numbers. The Hill reported registration is down for Democrats since 2019 in Florida by more than 200,000, in North Carolina by more than 135,000, and in Pennsylvania by more than 200,000. Democrats have seen marginal increases in party registration in Arizona and New Hampshire.Â
Yet while Democrats are bracing themselves for a wipeout at the ballot box next year, they may not know the true extent of their loss of support among voters. Polling before last yearâs election, in which Biden only prevailed by fewer than 43,000 votes in three swing states, was the least accurate in 40 years.
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/stoddard-if-polls-are-right-dems-are-doomed-if-theyre-wrong-its-worse?fr=operanews
Great article, there's more. biden going down.