>>15206636 (lb)

Pipeline war. Brandon gang wants an Iran/Qatar to Europe pipeline. Iran/Syria/Turkey needed for that. Been that way since the 2nd Obama term.

Europe has no military or energy leverage. EU big into tech support of Iran, too, IMO. Only leverage for the EU is political machinations. Realpolitik. Politics is a tool/weapon. Calculation is based on the will of the people in power being realized through manipulation of enough of the populace.

The political leverage can only be neutralized by physical reality, e.g., no heat.

I don't think the newly formed German government can even withstand the first contact with the enemy's battlefield prep. Green's power comes from the Greta Thunberg Friday for the Future school walkouts. New voters went green. School of hard knocks doesn't have walkouts.

Finally, I think Brandon is compromised by all the players WW. Brandon will move in the direction of the least possible damage to his scrawny ass. No fucks given beyond his personal sphere.

My guess, now, is that Zelensky moves the Ukraine back to the Russian orbit and puts Russian missiles in the Ukraine in return for natgas promises. What goes around comes around for the EU. Ukraine may be on the ME pipeline plans, too, not sure. Zelensky knows the EU is just political bluster with nothing to back it up if the US doesn't buy in. I think there's too much on Brandon for the US to risk anything kinetic.

Popular chant during the "Nam draft protests was, "I rather save my ass than LBJ's face." Applies here to Brandon, IMO.