The military geniuses at the 5-pointed puzzle-palace are convinced Pooty Poot won't make a move after Feb because muddy ground would slow Russian motorized infantry and armor.
Just because the West Pointers don't want to get their boots and pretty uniforms muddy, doesn't mean the Russians aren't willing to roll around in mud if it comes down to it.
I promise you some Col is going to get a Legion of Merit for this shit tier analysis. Confirmation bias is strongest among the War College crowd. Even more so than normies.