Anonymous ID: fced28 April 2, 2022, 8:26 p.m. No.16001516   🗄️.is đź”—kun

End of monsoon season just 3 weeks away in the South China Sea. A good review to see what China might be preparing for.

 

Naval War College Review, Vol. 54 [2001], No. 4, Art. 5

Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2001

HOW CHINA MIGHT INVADE TAIWAN

 

Excerpt

 

PHASED INVASION (of Taiwan)

 

The People’s Liberation Army could realize a number of important advantages, should it invade Taiwan, by conducting the operation in three phases: seizing Quemoy (Kinmen) and other islands close to the mainland, capturing the Peng Hu Islands, and assaulting Taiwan’s west coast. By attacking these objectives in succession, the Chinese could amass great numerical superiority against each one in turn and render the next object less defensible. This stepping-stone strategy would place the defenders in the predicament of deciding whether to absorb casualties fighting for key terrain currently under attack or to conserve resources for a final stand on the main island.

 

Phasing could work to the Chinese advantage for other reasons as well. Beijing could exploit the initial phase domestically, creating a state of war fever that would generate support for military construction projects that would in

turn be essential for succeeding phases but would seem unjustifiable in peacetime. Moreover, a break after the first two phases would allow an opportunity for major upgrades in military training, taking advantage of experience gained in what would amount to combat “rehearsals” for an assault against the main island.

 

https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2535&context=nwc-review