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A Russian cyberattack is coming —lawmakers and citizens must prepare
BY GLENN NYE AND JAMES KITFIELD, OPINION CONTRIBUTORS - 04/22/22 3:00 PM ET
s the United States continues to rush sophisticated weaponry to Ukrainians to defend against the Russian invasion force and unprecedented Western sanctions slowly strangle the Russian economy, Moscow’s retaliation is likely a matter of when — not if.
Russian strategic doctrine even calls for escalation in order to deescalate conflicts, up to and potentially including the use of nuclear weapons. If history is any guide, the next rung up President Vladimir Putin’s ladder of escalation will probably be sophisticated and potentially devastating cyberattacks aimed at critical American infrastructure.
The Biden administration has already warned of “evolving intelligence” that the Russian government is exploring options for potential cyberattacks against the United States. The Kremlin’s playbook for such aggression is extensive and well-rehearsed, and Russia is not the only source of cyberattacks we need to be ready to defend against.
Just last year, Russian hackers shut down the Colonial Pipeline, which carries nearly half of the East Coast’s fuel supplies, causing long lines at gas stations up and down the Eastern seaboard. The ransomware attack was reportedly the work of a Russian criminal group loosely affiliated with Russian intelligence services.
In the massive SolarWinds cyberattack in 2020, hackers believed to be working for Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service used malware to infect the computers of Fortune 500 companies and multiple U.S. government agencies. Private company systems were compromised, as were computers inside the Pentagon, the Department of Homeland Security, the State Department, the Treasury Department, the Department of Energy and even the National Nuclear Security Administration — part of a series of successful intrusions into private and government systems across America.
“The reality is we have seen Russia do some things in cyberspace that we thought were just nuts. That were so provocative, so escalatory that sometimes you look at that and say, ‘Who’s controlling these guys?’” Dmitri Alperovitch, a Russian-born American computer security expert and co-founder of the cyber security firm CrowdStrike, told “60 Minutes” reporter Bill Whitaker in a recent interview. “ You know when the U.S. launches an operation there’s going to be an army of lawyers approving every step of that operation, asking are you going to cause any civilian casualties, are you going to do anything that is disproportionate. They don’t have any of that in Russia, and that can lead us down a very dark path.”
American policymakers need to be concerned not only with defending government systems against attack, or how and when to use offensive counterattacks but the full range of private company and organization systems vulnerable to targeting by foreign cyber actors. As technology advances, especially with the rollout of 5G communications, autonomous vehicles and the internet-of-things, the attack surface is growing larger by the day and the number of defenders has to grow to match the threat.