>>16499521

FOR REFERENCE: Taking note of still wet condition/appearance of street and sidewalks after midnight when last recorded rainfall on 31DEC2013 was at 2:50pm. Rainfall occurred for 4 hours that day from 11:50 to 2:50pm, 9 hours earlier.

This might be used to eliminate night time Q pics on the 13th which also had 4 hours of recorded rain from 2:50pm to 6:50pm, the last of which occurring 4 hours AFTER the last recorded rain on NYE on which night the ground still being visibly wet. Using this clue, the ground at EMB would also be visibly wet until 4am on the 13th.

15DEC had 8 hours of recorded rain, double that of NYE, from 11am to 7pm. I think this should eliminate this date for the PICCADILLY/Britannia pics as they were taken before sunset when the street lamps were coming on. Also eliminate the RED BUS pic for this date as it appeared from slight shadows to be mid afternoon. (Sunset was approx. 3:50pm.) Possibly eliminating WW on this date due to the 8 hours of rain but, the ground cover being different it might have done better to absorb the rain.

16DEC also had 4 hours of recorded rain from 3:50pm to 7:50pm, the last of which again occurring 4 hours after that recorded on NYE. Again, comparing with NYE still showing wet streets and sidewalks 9 hours after recorded rainfall of 4 hours duration, one could expect on this evening to see wet streets until 5am the next morning in the EMB pics on this evening and, MAYBE an early morning CH pic the next morning.

21DEC had 10 HOURS of recorded rainfall from 6:50am to 4:50pm. This would, using the NYE model for wet streets 9 hours after 4 hours of rain, eliminate this day for PICCADILLY, RED BUS, EMB and likely WW for being soaked.

23DEC had 8 HOURS of rain from 8:50am to 4:50pm, again twice that recorded on NYE, and the last of which recorded 2 hours after that of NYE. So we could logically expect similar wet ground appearance til 2 or 3am the next morning. This day’s rain would exclude RED BUS, PICCADILLY and likely EMB and WW for this evening.

30DEC had 6 HOURS of rain from

6:50am to 12:50pm. The last recorded rain this day is 2 hours before that on NYE, so although it had more rain it could have dried out prior to midnight, so maybe allowing for late evening pics. But the PICCADILLY and RED BUS pics are likely excluded for this date.

31DEC had 4 hours of rain from 10:50am to 2:50pm. This rainfall was evident 9 hours later around midnight. We can deduce that wet conditions would have been visible in the RED BUS and PICCADILLY pics to exclude those on this date. The night pics at EMB and CH this evening would not be excluded by wetness but would certainly be excluded due to expected evidence of NYE celebrations.

I haven’t included the WW lights dates that excluded dates for that location.

>>16502330

>>16501774

Sorry, my only sauce is from historical weather data at:

https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/uk/london/historic?month=12&year=2013

It seems to be based on HOURLY measurements. My theory can only be as gud as the sauce from that site. I suppose there can be possibility for error but it would be in their (the site’s) end.

>>16502330

>16DEC also had 4 hours of recorded rain from 3:50pm to 7:50pm, the last of which again occurring 4 hours after that recorded on NYE. Again, comparing with NYE still showing wet streets and sidewalks 9 hours after recorded rainfall of 4 hours duration, one could expect on this evening to see wet streets until 5am the next morning in the EMB pics on this evening and, MAYBE an early morning CH pic the next morning.<

By this I meant to say I think it would eliminate EMB and (night) CH pics from 16DEC.

It is impossible to eliminate PICCADILLY(Brittania) pics on this date because the partially lit street lamps shown seem to indicate a time at or very near to sunset which was around 3:50pm; And which time so happens to be the first time indicated for measured rain at 3:50pm.

>>16502330

>>16501774

>15DEC had 8 hours of recorded rain, double that of NYE, from 11am to 7pm. I think this should eliminate this date for the PICCADILLY/Britannia pics as they were taken before sunset when the street lamps were coming on. Also eliminate the RED BUS pic for this date as it appeared from slight shadows to be mid afternoon. (Sunset was approx. 3:50pm.) Possibly eliminating WW on this date due to the 8 hours of rain but, the ground cover being different it might have done better to absorb the rain.<

EMB pics may also be excluded on 15DEC: If there indeed was no rain on NYE around midnight, then a comparison with the wet streets and sidewalks on NYE can be made and one can take note that on the 16th the last recorded rainfall was 4 hours AFTER that recorded on NYE which may allow for damp streets to possibly be observed 4 hours later than those observed on NYE (ie 4am the next morning.) Therefore, this might also eliminate EMB for the evening of 15DEC.

*Unless one still holds open the possibility that EMB could have been taken after 4am.

>>16502330

>Seem to recall 2013/2014 vid with lots of rain on NYE celebrations at The Eye. That vid showed the shroud behind BB, i think.<

If true, that would shoot a tremendous hole in the theory of comparing lingering evidence of rain. But the recorded timeframes for rain can still be of use to eliminate dates for some pics if the periods of rain encompass the the suspected times for certain pics. Will be anxious to see vid(s) showing evening rain on NYE.

Please vid(s) (or links to vids) you mentioned.

>>16503608

For NYE, I was using the hourly weather on timeandate(dot)com. Picrels.

>>16504411

That’s okay. The vid with the guy talking about proper rain is gud enuf proof. Thanks.

Well that scuttles the observation re dampness on NYE lasting from 3pm (((“reported”))) rain. I have this funny scene in my head about a ‘weather observer’ working late on NYE, being called away for a New Year’s nip by a co-worker of the opposite sex “Oh the weather’s been ‘passing clouds’ for a hour. Nothing’s gonna change. Let’s have a toast then’l she said. A 45 minutes later he return and guesses a log entry for ‘partly cloudy’ for the previous hour.

Oh well. At least the periods of rain encompassing suspected pic times can still be used to exclude a few days from various pics.

There was one morning that had fog from 6:50am til 1pm that might possibly exclude the morning CH1 pic. But you would have to place it after 6:50am.