SubFag Missile info:
Just a note, I am not a BoomerFag, so some of conclusions may be incorrect.
Based on what I know and have experienced aboard US fast-attack subs, I bring to you the following:
#1. I strongly (99.9% confidence) that an Ohio-Class ballistic missile sub cannot launch a missile while on the surface (well, except torpedo tube-launch tomahawks, but that is another topic). The mechanism that drives the missile out of the tube through the water to the surface is compressed air and buoyancy (maybe in theory a missile could be launched surfaced, but I think that the booster ignition could cause damage to the submarine).
Based off of this information, I have looked through the Skunk bay weather video, and other videos that the Skunk bay weather website has posted. Based off of this information, I have determined that there is a visible radio tower (see red lights on attached pics). I used an online mariner's chart that maps the possible locations of radio tower in regards to the direction the camera was facing. The closest is about 14 nautical miles, and there is another on or near the Naval airfield about 26 nautical miles (NM) away.
#2. The suspected launch appears to be a few degrees left of said tower. Based off of this and facts from conclusion #1, I inspected the water depths near the Naval base. The depth range is 150-300 feet, however take into account that every sub I have ever been on has established a minimum safety range of 2000 yards (1.0 nautical mile) from shallow water/underwater mountains etc. Along with the fact that this area is in between two traffic lanes (which despite the depth of the sub, we don't like to get run over by any vessel). Though this is possible for a fast attack to operate in this water, it is very unlikely. Even less unlikely for BoomerFags, as it is something that they just don't train to do.
#3. I have mapped the next closest possible inland area where it would be best suited for a missile launch. This is 50`60 nautical miles from the camera location. It would also explain why the camera did not pick up the bottom ignition plume.
#4. Fellow autists, There are many webcams in the general area of these islands in Washington. Please help me dig for an archive to show another view of launch, which will help us to triangulate the exact launch location.
#5. I am still in doubt that a US sub, let alone a boomer, would conduct a launch in shallow water near US territory (it's really hard for them to turn around and run like hell/hide.
#5A. However, take into account that the Pacific and Atlantic ocean are littered with underwater hydrophones to specifically listen for submarines, an inland launch is genius, as with the heavy merchant traffic from merchant ships, a missile launch would be virtually undetectable by the SOSUS system (not too mention that I do not believe that there are any SOSUS cables located with US waterways (prove me wrong).
#6. International Law states that territorial waters extend 12 nautical miles from the coastline of said territory, and any foreign vessel operating within the 12 nm range without permission is no bueno.
#7. I have spent a decade of my life on fast-attack subs, and have operated in shallow inland waters, and base this post on my experience, and the most plausible inland launch location would be around Birch Bay/Point Roberts Washington. I am trying to find an archive of any webcam in that area from June 9, to support this hypothesis.