https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/10/02/world/brazil-presidential-election

"Mr. Bolsonaro had claimed for months that the polls were underestimating his support, using his enormous rallies as evidence. Yet every trusted poll showed him behind. On Sunday, it was clear that he was right. With most of the ballots counted, he performed better in all of Brazil’s 27 states than what Ipec, one of Brazil’s biggest pollsters, had predicted a day before the election.

Pollsters appeared to misjudge the strength of conservative candidates across the country. Governors and lawmakers supported by Mr. Bolsonaro also outperformed polls, winning many of their races on Sunday."