Personal bias error - Was having an exchange with (maybe) Elon a couple nights ago asking if I thought he was a white or black hat. I said gray, and in the next bread stated why - a Father’s love.
What I didn’t think through in that exchange was the probability of him being a white hat. I personally could not have pulled that path off, so to me it was impossible.
If things are bigger than we can imagine, that type of error can be preyed on by our enemies. I think in probabilities, and have adjusted the white hat up and the gray hat down. Black hat is fairly unlikely at this point.
Tl;dr check your ego and explore all paths with an open mind. We are the news and that is an awesome responsibility.