PF: MILLR36 WC-135 Constant Phoenix (nuke sniffer) ESE from San Juan departure between Dominica and Martinique @33k ft-arrived on 0113 from Offutt AFB (STRATCOM) 36..3=C 6=F for Clinton Foundation
Mexi AF 3538 737 NW from Santa Lucia AB-yesterday it went SE (trace dropped shortly after take off and timing wise it looks like it went to Oaxaca)
US Coast Guard Activity over Florida coupla helos and a HC-130H7 outta St. Pete/Clearwater-since they are there: GTMO842 US Navy Beech departed Ft. Lauderdale Int'l ES and GTMO845 rounding eastern Cuba from Gitmo and NW
Constant Phoenix
The Constant Phoenix's modifications are primarily related to its on-board atmospheric collection suite, which allows the mission crew to detect radioactive "clouds" in real time. The aircraft is equipped with external flow-through devices to collect particulates on filter paper and a compressor system for whole air samples collected in holding spheres.
moar
https://www.af.mil/About-Us/Fact-Sheets/Display/Article/104494/wc-135-constant-phoenix/
morning
Planefag Europe/Med Activity
Polish AF PLF101 737 landed at Zurich from WarsawPresident Dudagoing to Davos by helo, Spanish AF4515 Falcon 900 to Zurich from Madrid, Swedish AF SVF636 G5 also heading to Zurich with a stop at Helsinki earlier today, Cyprus AF CAF001 Embraer Legacy 135 from Aberdeen Int'l, Scotland overnightFM Ioannis Kasoulidesback to Larnaca. Italian AF IAM3122 Falcon 900 west from Ankara, Belgian AF BAF70 Falcon 7x NW from Athens (this is the "Royal" AC forKing Philippe and Queen Mathildeand one or both at Athens for
Thousands turn out to bid farewell to Greece’s former king
https://www.chron.com/entertainment/article/Thousands-turn-out-to-bid-farewell-to-Greece-s-17720455.php
Israeli AF 4X 982 Nachshon Eitam (SIGINT) G550 back to Nevatim AB
keep dancin'
Yellen Sets Surprise US-Chinese Meeting With Liu in Switzerland
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will hold her first face-to-face meeting with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He on Jan. 18 in Zurich, making a detour on her way to talks in Africa. The pair “will exchange views on macroeconomic developments and other economic issues,” the Treasury Department said in a statement.
China’s Ministry of Commerce confirmed the meeting late Monday, saying it’s aimed at strengthening economic and financial policy coordination, and implementing the agreements made during a summit between Chinese President Xi Jinping and Joe Biden late last year. Trade teams have maintained “sound communication,” the ministry said. The surprise announcements follow the November meeting of Biden and Xi on the sidelines of the Group of 20 summit in Bali, Indonesia. It was the first face-to-face session for the heads of state and has initiated a modest thawing of relations between the two governments. Despite that, the Wednesday morning meeting in Switzerland could be contentious as Washington and Beijing continue to squabble over trade, human rights and the autonomy of Taiwan. In recent months Yellen has championed a so-called “friend-shoring” policy that would see the US and its allies rely less on China for the supply of critical goods.
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/yellen-sets-surprise-us-chinese-meeting-with-liu-in-switzerland-1.1870653
Economic Schedule for Week of January 15, 2023
The key reports this week are December retail sales, housing starts and existing home sales.
Next "update" to 'tard Atlanta Fed's GDPNOW update is Wednesday, January 18 (which is a data heavy day that includes the Fed Beige Book)-raised to 4.1% from 3.8% on Jan 10th
https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow
For manufacturing, the December Industrial Production report and the January New York and Philly Fed manufacturing surveys will be released.
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Monday, January 16th -
All US markets will be closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day
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Tuesday, January 17th -
8:30 AM: The New York Fed Empire State manufacturing survey for January. The consensus is for a reading of -8.7, up from -11.2.
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Wednesday, January 18th -
7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.
8:30 AM: Retail sales for December is scheduled to be released. The consensus is for a 0.8% decrease in retail sales.
8:30 AM ET: The Producer Price Index for December from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.1% decrease in PPI, and a 0.1% increase in core PPI.
9:15 AM: The Fed will release Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for December.
The consensus is for a 0.1% decrease in Industrial Production, and for Capacity Utilization to decrease to 79.6%.
10:00 AM: The January NAHB homebuilder survey. The consensus is for a reading of 31, unchanged from 31 in December. Any number below 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good.
2:00 PM: the Federal Reserve Beige Book, an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts.
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Thursday, January 19th -
8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 212 thousand initial claims, up from 205 thousand last week.
8:30 AM: Housing Starts for December.
The consensus is for 1.358 million SAAR, down from 1.427 million SAAR.
8:30 AM: the Philly Fed manufacturing survey for January.
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Friday, January 20th -
10:00 AM: Existing Home Sales for December from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The consensus is for 3.95 million SAAR, down from 4.09 million.
https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2023/01/schedule-for-week-of-january-15-2023.html
o7
The market indices makes up about 10-15% of wut actually goes on each day doesn't capture dark pool or private transactions
When they lower rates (pivot) and then to overt QE-they will only do 25bp next FOMC mtg
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
It will continue to sky
If you notice each time they get "frenly-spun as that-data" equities get pumped
Look for that to continue