as everybody is enamored with the war in ukraine and the budding relationship(s) with Russia and China - Pakistan run by its national obsession will try and drive an incursion into Kashmir.
India not giving a fuck about Pakistan b/c they have become uber successful over the past decade will be totally unprepared.
Afghanistan will throw off the reigns of the Pakistani ISI and run it's own incursion into Pakistan.
India will bounce back
Pakistan will now be fighting a war on two fronts that they were equipped to deal with when the Afghanistan had a few AK-47s vs. now with $85B of US fighting equipment.
Afghanistan and India will forge a loose bond over the ousting of Pakistani leadership.
Territory will go to Afghanistan, nukes will go to India.
Pakistani people will be set free.
(something like that)