tyb
ebil trips chek't
PlaneFag CONUS activity
SAM594 C-32A EN from JBA probably Blinken and he met with North Macedonia (Moldova the next target for NATO) and on the phone with Israeli FM re: Sudan and muh Russian 'aggression'
https://twitter.com/SecBlinken
BOXER45 C-40C departed JBA (nancy has used this call sign before cuz she thought she was 45) and C101 US Coast Guard G5 departed Reagan National NE and heading to Burlington, VT
RCH3226 C-17 Globemaster west from JBA depart-equipment for VIP visits-Potato not going anywhere today and 'meets' with McCarty, Schumer, McConnell, Jeffries on muh debt ceiling at 4pm EST-they aren't gonna default but they may give the appearance of it if they even let it go that far.
https://factba.se/biden/calendar
French AF CTM010 Falcon 2000 EN from Saint Pierre Island ( the last vestige of 'New France'-Its residents are French citizens; the collectively elects its own deputy to the National Assembly and participates in senatorial and presidential elections) it arrived on 0505 from Villacoublay AB-air and space force base
RCH223/343 C-130 Hercules west from St. John's overnignt-arrived from Prestwick Int'l (Glasgow's Int'l airport) depart yesterday
PIGPN41 C-130 Hercules WS from Bradley Int'l and Air National Guard Base, Windsor Locks, CT
SPAR943 Learjet 35 SW from Scott AFB, IL and landed at Wichita Falls Regional Airport (Sheppard AFB located here)
10-3068 USAFSOC 'Special Ops' C-146A Wolfhound departed Albany, NY and arrived yesterday from a Cannon AFB (Clovis NM) stop of about 40m and Eglin AFB depart
AE4EF4 CV-22B Osprey heading west from Pax River
VM374 USMC heading to southern FL-looks like SW Florida Int'l Airport (Ft. Myers)
Mexi Po-Po XCOPF 727 ES from Mex. City Int'l (this went to Reynosa-McAllen, TX just nort-yesterday and back to Mex City)
from yesterday SAM832 G5 (ADS-B keeps miss-identifying this one-it is a C-37 or G5 tail #11-0550) went to Peterson SFB and 86-0105 B1-B was up for a bit doin' roundies out of Dyess AFB, Abilene TX
Treasuries Will Find Enough Takers On Debt-Ceiling Impasse (of course the printing press will make sure of that)
Front-end Treasuries have fallen since Friday’s non-farm payrolls data and Monday’s much-anticipated Senior Loan Office Opinion Survey from the Fed. Still, the increase in yields can only go so far. (the one-month would disagree with you)'
While markets were expecting a middling number on the jobs front for April, US employers were still hiring at full speed. Only three of 77 in Bloomberg’s survey had imagined the number would be north of 250k, and coming hot on the heels of the banking turmoil, that expansion was particularly significant. Hourly earnings increased and the unemployment rate extended its decline from a multi-decade low. The Fed reckons that we need a jobless rate of 4.5% to align supply in the economy with demand, but we got a number that went the other way. Clearly, the long tail of the economy will continue to wag.
The SLOOS report proved to be long on excitement, but short on what it ultimately delivered: US lenders tightened their standards in the first quarter, but not by a whole lot (and the FOMC had that report last week). The more interesting read-out showed the weakest demand for credit among large and mid-size firms since 2009. So it wasn’t a shocker to see two-year yields clawing their way back to 4%, some 20 basis points higher than before the payrolls data. Even so, front-end Treasuries may find the equilibrium range has moved lower to between 4.00% and 4.20% - and there are enough factors that will support bonds. President Joe Biden is due to meet Congressional leaders later Tuesday, with Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell warning that there is no “secret plan” to solve the debt-ceiling impasse . While we have seen this movie before, the uncertainty will do the economy no good and push it that much closer to a recession. For now, front-end yields may nudge higher, but there isn’t too much fuel left in the tank. This (1 month bill ) is about 40 basis points higher than the Reverse Repo Rate @ 5.05% see cap #4
https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/desk-operations/reverse-repo
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/treasuries-will-find-enough-takers-debt-ceiling-impasse
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmubmusd01m
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmubmusd02y
"Its ridiculous" buy short term treasury bills because debt ceiling deal will come says bond legend Bill Gross
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-ridiculous-buy-short-term-treasury-bills-because-debt-ceiling-deal-will-come-says-bond-legend-bill-gross-751040c9
Look up Bill Gross divorce…pretty nasty one that
PERON11 and GORDO16 E-4B Nightwatch(s) both out of Offutt AFB