Donald Trump’s latest indictment stems from his challenges to the 2020 election and essentially criminalizes claiming an election was rigged. Still, even with a third indictment Trump soldiers on and dominates the GOP presidential primary field. The indictments even seem to have helped him increase his lead on his challengers, leaving him the clear frontrunner for the nomination. Many insist he can’t win the general election. But while it will be no walk in a park, Trump can actually win. Here’s how and why:
No Republican can beat him in the primary
Professional conservatives frequently cry that any other Republican could do far better in 2024 than Trump. But if that were true, they would be near Trump in the polls. Instead, Trump sits atop the field by a whopping 38 points in the RealClearPolitics average. His lead keeps increasing alongside the number of indictments. Ron DeSantis, the only rival in double digits, is watching his numbers decline. He or another challenger might catch Trump, but that’s unlikely. It’s hard to think of a worse situation than facing three (and soon maybe four) indictments while running for president. Yet Trump’s lead remains unbreakable.
It’s hard to say his primary challengers are more electable if they can’t win the GOP base. The base remains devoted to Trump, providing him a strong foundation for a general election.