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“It has become clear to the entire senior leadership team that we are not optimized for great power competition,” the memo said. “… Accordingly, we will conduct a major initiative over the next several months to identify and implement the changes needed to meet our pacing challenge. This initiative will involve a comprehensive look at all aspects of how we organize, train and equip the Air Force and Space Force.”
The dangerous pivot point, he said in his keynote, is Taiwan. And just as Russia’s interest in Ukraine triggered the first full-scale war in Europe since World War II, China’s interest in Taiwan and its reconfigured military are cause for concern.
“Imagine that it’s January 2021 and you’re assessing the risk of Russia invading Ukraine and compare that to the risk you see today of an attack on Taiwan by China over the next several years,” Kendall said after asking the audience to take part in a “thought experiment.”
In terms that are the most stark and direct since he became secretary, Kendall described the consequences should the U.S. and allies not fully appreciate – and respond to – circumstances in the Indo-Pacific.
“If our power projection capability and capacity are not adequate to deter Chinese aggression, against Taiwan or elsewhere, war could occur. If it does, and we cannot prevail, the results could cast a long shadow,” he said.
In response, Kendall devised his seven Operational Imperatives that works in tandem with the National Security Strategy to reshape the Air Force and Space Force to meet the challenges posed by China and other adversaries.
Kendall admitted that the record so far on those efforts is mixed. “Despite my impatience, I feel that we have made a good start on the modernization front and that our way forward is now well defined.”
In other areas, however, “DAF senior leadership team and I are not as comfortable.”
Specifically, he said: “The Air Force and Space Force are incredibly capable, but we need to reoptimize the department for greater power projection and for great power competition. The war we need to be most ready for, if we want to optimize our readiness to deter or respond to the pacing challenge, is not the type of conflict we have been focused on for many years.”
“… We need to examine all aspects of how the Department of the Air Force is structured and operates and be open to major changes that reflect the requirements of the National Defense Strategy to deter and if necessary, prevail against China or Russia,” he said. “We must ensure that the Air Force and Space Force are optimized to provide integrated deterrence, support campaigning, and ensure enduring advantage.”
Difficult as the challenges are, Kendall said the response by the Department of the Air Force along with allies, partners and the entire government are united and focused.
Despite the threat, China “will fail,” Kendall said.
Directing his comments to Airmen and Guardians, Kendall said: “It is your initiative, professionalism and dedication that gives us our enduring competitive advantage They will fail because they cannot copy or duplicate the initiative, professionalism, and the dedication that I see in you every day.”
https://www.spaceforce.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/3522043/kendall-outlines-china-threat-in-stark-detail-offers-blueprint-for-effective-re/
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