I see Hamas to the South, Hezbollah to the North. Both supplied by Iran with likely US-made weapons from Ukraine and Afghanistan. Taliban already asked other countries to allow fighters to pass through on their way to Israel. Best route would be from the East via Jordan. Encirclement with backs to the sea, all that's left is unrestricted bloodbath, including a few nukes dropped on Iranian oil facilities to screw their economy up. The whole World would see Israel pressed to the last option before using nukes, so little blowback.
NOW: BRICS will have to reject Iran's already formally made application to join or be viewed as supporting terrorism. Iran really needed that membership. "Palestine" was considering applying, but nobody is fooled, nothing to bring to the table but a bid to have recognized statehood.
Ukraine going badly and funding fatigue setting in, sanctions on Russia not doing much other than making it hard on Europe to have fuels as Winter gets closer (thus the lb posting about Venezuelan sanctions getting lifted) while BRICS member India makes bank on buying Russian oil cheap and refining it to sell sanction-free to the idiots that imposed the sanctions. Germany wanting the UK to be in deeper with them because Brexit kicked them in the lederhosen. The longer UK is out of the EU fold, the more likely Hungary is to leave and if EU breaks up, then all the funds sent to prop up Greece, Portugal, and the others are wasted. Since the EU has a habit of using Germany as an ATM, the money down the drain will have German taxpayers mighty angry.
SO: Who benefits the most from all this? Not Iran, losing BRICS membership would set them back decades. Not Russia, they are fine trading with India, China, and Asia. Not Venezuela, their crude is heavy stuff and needs diluted with other oils to make it usable so they won't make pallets of money, just enough to maybe improve their economy enough to prevent a revolution. Not Canada, oil production expected to increase but Trudeau wants caps on everything so the country has to "go green" despite Canada being really good at blizzards where solar panels are out of action.
I ask again…WHO STANDS TO GAIN MOST FROM ALL THIS???