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Okay, I admit I'm a bit of a newfag here. Been around about 2 months now, thanks to a friend of mine who clued me in to Qanon… mainly via twitter, but also via qanon.pub.
I started looking in to the proofs, because I wasn't going to waste my time on it if I saw it was just a fake. I looked for it to be fake SO hard! I spent a lot of time going through Q Proofs… and I must say, MOST of them are unconvincing due to them being very easy to wave away due to a very common logical fallacy known as "post hoc ergo propter hoc".
"Post hoc ergo propter hoc is a logical fallacy that states "Since event Y followed event X, event Y must have been caused by event X." It is often shortened simply to post hoc fallacy."
The other logically fallacious reasoning I saw a lot of proofs falling for was the whole post hoc confirmation bias. "We want Q to be true, so we will take what he says AFTER an event as evidence that he knew the event would happen"… For example…
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Trump tweets something… 15 minutes later Trump tweets something again.
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Q posts saying [15]
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Anons say "OMG, he said 15! What could it mean? Look at Trumps latest tweets! They're 15 minutes apart! Q MUST BE CLOSE TO THE PRESIDENT!"
If you can apply Occam's Razor to find a simpler explanation that requires fewer assumptions, where you can reasonably find a non-conspiratorial way to explain it all… then it's not a "proof" at all… it's just noise that actually serves to discredit.
Let me repeat that: ANYTHING that is billed as a "proof" that is not rock solid, actually hinders the "proving" of Q.
As for me, I'm fucking relentless… so I kept looking… and to be honest, I was turned off by all the autistic "you have to connect these 14 disparate things that were said, that are not at all rationally connected, to prove Q is legit" stuff. I have seen people connect dots that aren't actually connected at all… which is all part of the process, I suppose… but trash proofs must be recognized and thrown out when shown to be trash.
That confirmation bias basically comes down to the whole "I WANT TO BELIEVE SOOO BAD!" mentality that many of us have… because we WANT to see justice done! We all KNOW HRC is evil and corrupt and has had people murdered… we all KNOW she deserves to hang for her treason against the country we all love…
But we MUST be disciplined in our logic!
The question I found myself asking was this… would Q… obviously a very disciplined and intelligent person… would this person set up a pattern of posting that matched this whole Q clock thing? Seriously? Do you REALLY think some Autist in the White House is sitting around plotting dates and such in a spiral around a clock face? I find that rather incredulous.