This is not a believable scenario. If this guy was in a psychotic break as they say, he is not clear of mind to escape in a river mitigatable to the ocean. The details of the boat are specific. If this turns out to be a "false lead" then it was a planned false lead. Done to condition us that a branch of the US military can hunt a citizen.
Both things cannot be true at the same time. He can't be psychotic enough to do this yet sane enough to no longer act out but instead get away peacefully.
https://twitter.com/rawsalerts/status/1717609843974963452