Anonymous ID: 9c445b July 3, 2018, 1:47 a.m. No.2009660   🗄️.is 🔗kun

>>2009649

B. MEXICO 003174

C. MEXICO 003173

 

Classified By: ELISSA G. PITTERLE, DIRECTOR, INR/OPS. REASON: 1.4(C).

 

  1. (C/NF) WASHINGTON ANALYSTS ARE ASSESSING EFFORTS AMONG

MEXICAN LEFTIST POLITICAL PARTIES, SPECIFICALLY THE PARTY OF

THE DEMOCRATIC REVOLUTION (PRD), TO UNIFY AT THE

LOCAL/STATE/FEDERAL LEVEL AND THE IMPACT THAT SUCH

UNIFICATION MAY HAVE ON THE 2010 AND 2012 ELECTIONS. WE WOULD

WELCOME MORE SPECIFIC INSIGHT INTO HOW POTENTIAL

UNIFICATIONS/DIVISIONS AMONG THE MEXICAN LEFT MAY AFFECT THE

POLITICAL LANDSCAPE, IN LIGHT OF THE PRD'S STRONG SECOND

PLACE FINISH IN THE 2006 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION. THIS TYPE OF

REPORTING IS KEY TO OUR ANALYSIS AND WE WOULD GREATLY VALUE

POST'S INSIGHT INTO THE FOLLOWING TOPICS AND QUESTIONS, AS

TIME AND RESOURCES ALLOW.

 

A. (U) INTERNAL PRD

 

B. (S/NF) WHAT IS THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PRD MEMBERS

ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR (AMLO), MARCELO EBRARD, JESUS

ORTEGA, ALEJANDRO ENCINAS, AND JUAN RAMON DE LA FUENTE?

 

1) (S/NF) TO WHAT EXTENT ARE THESE INDIVIDUALS WORKING

TOGETHER OR UNDERCUTTING ONE ANOTHER? HOW MUCH SUPPORT DO

THEY HAVE WITHIN THE PRD AND AMONG THE SMALLER LEFTIST

PARTIES (PT AND CONVERGENCIA)? WHAT IS THE PERCEPTION AMONG

THE RANK-AND-FILE MEMBERS OF AMLO AND EBRARD? WHAT OTHER

GROUPS–UNIONS, SOCIAL MOVEMENTS, ETC.–DO THEY CONSIDER TO

BE AMONG THEIR SUPPORTERS?

 

2) (S/NF) WHAT IS THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE PRD BLOC IN

THE SENATE AND THE PRD DEPUTIES IN THE CHAMBER OF DEPUTIES?

HOW MUCH COORDINATION IS THERE IN TERMS OF STRATEGY? WHAT ARE

THE KEY LEGISLATIVE PRIORITIES OF THE PRD BLOC? HOW DIFFERENT

ARE THEY BETWEEN THE SENATE AND CHAMBER? HOW DO PRD

LEGISLATORS INTEND TO PUSH THEIR AGENDA ITEMS?

 

C. (U) PRD CAMPAIGN

 

1) (S/NF) WHAT ARE THE OPINIONS WITHIN THE PRD PARTY ON THE

LIKELIHOOD OF A UNIFIED EFFORT FOR THE 2010 AND 2012

ELECTIONS? TO WHAT EXTENT IS THERE CONSENSUS ON A LEGISLATIVE

AGENDA OR PLATFORM FOR THE UPCOMING ELECTIONS? DOES THE

PRD/MEXICAN LEFT INTEND TO RUN ON NATIONAL AND/OR LOCAL

ISSUES?

 

2) (S/NF) WHAT ARE THE PRD'S CAMPAIGN PLANS? WHAT ARE THE

PRD'S PLANS FOR RUNNING IN COALITION WITH THE NATIONAL ACTION

PARTY (PAN) IN ANY OF THE STATE ELECTIONS? ON WHICH ISSUES

DOES THE PAN AND THE INSTITUTIONAL REVOLUTIONARY PARTY FEEL

THAT THEY CAN WORK WITH THE PRD/MEXICAN LEFT?

 

3) (S/NF) WHAT IS THE MOOD WITHIN THE PRD FOR THE 2010

GUBERNATORIAL RACES? WHERE ARE THEY FOCUSING THEIR CAMPAIGN

EFFORTS? TO WHAT EXTENT IS THE PRD OPTIMISTIC ABOUT DEFENDING

ITS ONE GOVERNORSHIP IN ZACATECAS?

 

4) (S/NF) HOW ARE THE FINANCES OF THE PRD, GIVEN THAT ITS

DISMAL PERFORMANCE IN THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS RESULTED IN

DECREASED FUNDING FROM THE GOVERNMENT? WHAT PLANS DOES THE

PRD HAVE TO ATTRACT NEW FUNDS?

 

  1. (U) PLEASE CITE C-AL9-02542 IN THE SUBJECT LINE OF

REPORTING IN RESPONSE TO THE ABOVE QUESTIONS.

CLINTON