Anonymous ID: 69c8b8 Feb. 27, 2024, 4:58 a.m. No.20482996   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>3118 >>3254

Three key drivers for the Ukraine war in 2024

Supplies, information and political will could determine whether the bruising conflict enters a fourth or ends in its third year

by Tara Sonenshine February 27, 2024

 

In retrospect, there was perhaps nothing surprising about Russia’s decision to invade Ukraine on February 24, 2022. Vladimir Putin’s intentions were, after all, hiding in plain sight and signaled in the months running up to the incursion.

 

What could not be foreseen, however, is where the conflict finds itself now. Heading into its third year, the war has become bogged down: Neither is it a stalemate nor does it look like either side could make dramatic advances any time soon.

 

Russia appears to be on the ascendancy, having secured the latest major battlefield victory, but Ukrainian fighters have exceeded military expectations with their doggedness in the past and may do so again.

 

But as a foreign policy expert and former journalist who spent many years covering Russia, I share the view of those who argue that the conflict is potentially at a pivotal point: If Washington does not continue to fully support President Volodymyr Zelensky and his military, then Ukraine’s very survival could be at risk. I believe it would also jeopardize America’s leadership in the world and global security.

 

How the conflict develops during the rest of 2024 will depend on many factors, but three may be key: supplies, information and political will.

The supplies race

Russia and Ukraine are locked in a race to resupply their war resources – not just in terms of soldiers but also ammunition and missiles. Both sides are desperately trying to shore up the number of soldiers it can deploy.

 

In December 2023, Putin ordered his generals to increase troop numbers by nearly 170,000, taking the total number of soldiers to 1.32 million. Meanwhile, Ukraine is said to be looking at plans to increase its military by 500,000 troops.

 

Of course, here, Russia has the advantage of being able to draw on a population more than three times that of Ukraine. Also, whereas Putin can simply order up more troops, Zelensky must get measures approved through parliament.

 

Aside from personnel, there is also the need for a steady supply of weapons and ammunition – and there have been reports that both sides are struggling to maintain sufficient levels.

 

Russia appears particularly eager to boost its number of ballistic missiles, as they are better equipped for countering Ukraine air defense systems despite being slower than cruise missiles.

 

https://asiatimes.com/2024/02/three-key-drivers-for-the-ukraine-war-in-2024/

Anonymous ID: 69c8b8 Feb. 27, 2024, 5:12 a.m. No.20483024   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>3118

This is the AsiaTimes opinion, but it gives an idea of how others view what is going on regionally in the Pacific.

 

US extends losing streak to China in the Pacific

Solomon Islands, Nauru and Papua New Guinea all coming under China’s sway while US fails to allocate funds for key Pacific partners

by Grant Newsham February 27, 2024

 

I started life as a fan of a hapless baseball team called the Washington Senators, so I recognize losing when I see it. There’s plenty of losing going on in the Pacific as the Chinese seek to undercut the American and Australian positions.

 

Lose the Pacific and it almost doesn’t matter what weapons you give to Taiwan or how you reinforce the so-called First Island Chain running from Japan via Taiwan and the Philippines to Borneo. The Chinese are running rings around the US, Australia, and everyone else in the Pacific.

 

In the latest setback, Papua New Guinea reportedly is talking to China about an agreement that will allow for People’s Republic of China (PRC) police to provide training and surveillance equipment to the PNG police force.

 

The Americans and the Australians might have thought we were best friends forever with PNG. But this shouldn’t be a surprise – even after the Americans signed a comprehensive security deal with PNG last summer and the Australians signed a more recent agreement with PNG regarding policing and security. Supposedly Australia would be PNG’s ‘partner of choice’ when it needed help.

 

When the Americans signed the deal it was a good thing by and large and offered benefits to both countries – especially on the security front between each nation’s military. But one wondered whether the Americans anticipated the Chinese political warfare counter-attack that one knew was coming.

 

As news of the deal came out, citizen groups started to challenge it. No surprise. The Chinese are always on the ground in PNG and in the Pacific – always influencing and pushing – and at all levels and parts of society.

 

It’s all greased with money – much if not most of it under the table, of course – but a lot of the financial influence derives from the Chinese commercial presence in all these Pacific nations, right down to the corner shop level. The American and Australian commercial presences? There is some, but it doesn’t match up so well against the Chinese.

 

In fact, the president or head of a Chinese logging or fishing outfit in Papua New Guinea (or any other Pacific nation) probably has more real influence on the ground than the four-star Admiral commanding the US Indo-Pacific Command.

 

For now, China won’t mind if the Australians and the Americans are still around in PNG or elsewhere in the region. It gives them a chance to watch and learn their behaviors. And they don’t mind if they have signed agreements.

 

An agreement is just a piece of paper (as PRC officials will tell you) and can be renounced or ignored anytime. The PRC just needs its foot in the door and it will go from there for as long as it takes.

 

Unfortunately, the Americans (and the Australians) really don’t understand (or even care about) political warfare, which is a mystery – if not an expletive – in Washington and Canberra. China is glad to have it that way.

 

Political warfare refers to a nation using every element of national power short of outright armed conflict to get its way. This includes economic, financial, commercial, proxy (getting locals to push for your interests), propaganda, psychological, legal and cyber warfare, among others…

 

https://asiatimes.com/2024/02/us-extends-losing-streak-to-china-in-the-pacific/

Anonymous ID: 69c8b8 Feb. 27, 2024, 5:29 a.m. No.20483055   🗄️.is 🔗kun

>>20483016

Unfortunately there are already lots of US & NATO special forces in Ukraine,

as well as some line troops signed up as mercenaries or "volunteers".

The SFs have been there since before the start of the SMO.

 

I wish the Ukraine war would stop immediately.

Gaza, too.

 

The distraction wars are only benefitting the satanists and the elites, not the normal people who are dying and getting wounded.

We are too busy fighting each other to focus on [them].

 

CIA had 40+ bioweapons labs in Ukraine as well as 12 CIA bases.

 

Mossad's Epstein Island was undoubtably not the only blackmail operation going on in the world.

 

[They] keep stealing our productivity bonuses through planned inflation.

 

Peace is the prize we the People (of the USA (and the world)), want.

Anonymous ID: 69c8b8 Feb. 27, 2024, 6:23 a.m. No.20483240   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>3249

>>20483219

best you can do, eh 1dfc0e?

 

I gotta go to work to earn bio-survival units unlike you who can live here because of Unit 8200 or whatever it is called these days in Israel paying you.

Israeli Shill.