>>20528546 pb
It's really too bad our side doesn't really understand these things.
Really, at all, very few of us have worked on political campaigns I guess.
to many, "how are those numbers getting up there?" is a, sadly, unknowable process.
to people who work on political campaigns, it's much more knowable.
Here is the biggest News Flash for people here about campaigns, numbers and votes.
When the numbers change for the candidates it means that a new Precinct or a new Town has been added. Those Precincts are each very knowable. Generally, the people in a given precinct or town are going to vote the same way they did last time. Democrats are going to vote for Democrats and Republicans are going to vote for Republicans. You can look at the data from the last elections to make predictions about how people are going to vote. And all across the country these days, people generally vote the same. The US is red, with solid blue dots in the middle. Those are cities. If you look at data, you will see that the Democrats win cities every year by huge margins.
Oh look Schiff got 277K more votes at the end, and Garvey only got 45k. Instead of going "oh, that's statistically impossible" you just look at the what precincts came in, what cities. If Garvey lost in rural areas, if those were rural precincts, and Garvey lost the last precincts like that, I'd question that. You do want to look for ballot fraud. But not knowing basic shit about precincts isn't helpful. Blacks vote Democrat a large % of the time. There are precincts that are almost 100% Black, and the people around them generally are also Democrats. Whole cities can go 90/10 for the Democrat. A rural area might be 80/20 gop 60/40 gop . cities might be 90/10 dem and certainly parts of cities are 90/10. over the last 50 years or however much time, rural poor and lower middle have become gop, and urban rich have become dem. suburbs of the biggest cities of the NE and WC, have become more dem. Not so much outside of that.
You can know this stuff, you can study what happened in earlier years, you can keep multiple tabs open in your browser and study which towns and precincts and wards and whatnot are left, and how they voted last time, oh, all the precints left are San Francisco, that's not good for Garvey even if he has a lead. But some people think there's a magic algorithm.
I don't think there was fraud in this specific election, unless they were just trying to keep in practice. It's A Runoff Election. The top 2 go head to head. Garvey and Schiff were well ahead of everyone else. It didn't matter if Schiff or Garvey won, as long as neither got over 50%. They would be going head to head either way.
It might be interesting to look at where the Schiff votes were coming from. I would guess Schiff did win SFby a large margin. And the non coastal, non big city areas were won by Garvey.
Very many pivotal Democrat ballots are being funnelled through very few vote counting places. The gop margins of victory are in the many many small towns.